NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd40d39df7da488a75a8e120faa4c8db0dcdd55ef7ebcf3c85ec224b5f33507f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Over | 46c | 83,840$38,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,527.91 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under | 54c | 58,498$31,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,909.25 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.97 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 1,160$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.87 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Over | 2c | 1,111$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under | 55c | 1,041$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 54c | 1,010$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.6 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 54c | 972.24$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.23 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 35c | 922.75$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.58 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 46c | 700.2$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.59 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 690.47$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.62 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 2c | 650$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 54c | 600.23$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.11 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Over | 2c | 562.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 48c | 467$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.45 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Under | 65c | 452.23$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.28 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Under | 52c | 404.88$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.49 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 18c | 402.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Under | 55c | 354.78$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.65 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 55c | 349.84$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.43 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 63c | 319.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.55 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 45c | 294.7$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.14 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Under | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Under | 58c | 249.22$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.22 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Over | 20c | 246.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Over | 46c | 234.12$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 55c | 219.53$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 21c | 161$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 40c | 105.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 54c | 91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…79bbbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…4168backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 46c | 83.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…01e8backed Over | 46c | 79.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 19c | 69.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 20c | 62.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Under | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 26c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 49.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 54c | 38.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…93c0backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…db81backed Over | 47c | 32.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 42c | 31.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…28f3backed Under | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…224abacked Over | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 55c | 22.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…cdcfbacked Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 19.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5this page
- Avalanche vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.