TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe665…79bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
242
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: College Football, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 53 out of 100; worst Olympics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$46.43
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5044%22 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cooper Kupp: First Touchdownbacked Cooper Kupp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Big Game: Overtime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+65.1%+$140.57
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$8.59
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$234.78
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$147.46
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$127.78
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+219.4%+$113.13
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT4341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$94.05
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Aljamain Sterling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$56.79
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Rafa Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gilbert Burns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Charles Jourdain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.12
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.41
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$93.1
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$144.1
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3450%17 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$10.88
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.24
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$194
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.95
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.