TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$222,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,047 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa080…234fbacked Under44c80,000$35,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,399.851637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over56c64,013$35,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,679.6128749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under44c41,109$18,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,082.071,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over56c35,178$19,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,699.751330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Under44c15,111$6,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,462.152564%16 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over47c13,810$6,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,478.752951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over55c11,402$6,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,271.120756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over55c11,331$6,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,230.8711952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over55c6,637$3,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,668.974542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x005a…bccebacked Under45c5,575$2,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over55c5,081$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780.2761950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c4,730$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.751,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over56c4,400$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4643548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c4,260$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,370.5576950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under45c3,692$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.6841850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under44c3,640$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.461959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over56c2,679$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0804264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.993756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over56c1,936$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.35954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2230…c3b7backed Under61c1,932$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Under60c1,705$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.53742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over55c1,651$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.2566552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over57c1,323$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.759948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under44c1,198$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.0614551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over47c1,135$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.931,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under45c1,100$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6052365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under45c1,100$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6051154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over55c1,033$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56811648.3%56 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Over56c1,031$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.342857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Under61c1,000$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d35…06b5backed Under44c987.03$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over67c895.52$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c765.24$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.483149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over55c728$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.442948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under46c727.63$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.926847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under35c663.35$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.0861848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under65c575.23$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.433,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over55c561.16$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.6489547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over56c555$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.85435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Over40c551.75$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over56c513.31$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.892,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2759751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27543548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27527850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under33c429.55$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9531448.7%153 W · 161 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under44c420$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.12755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over53c407.35$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.6314254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over36c385.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under77c381.85$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.713063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5941…9583backed Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over63c352$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.921154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Over56c341.9$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.471346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3329551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over55c333.1$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.212846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Under45c316.87$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c300.81$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4313841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1684542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1b8…437cbacked Over54c299.98$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9910650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bae…0a3fbacked Over27c290$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over19c265.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.513116.1%5 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Under40c265.09$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14024749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Over57c245.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…781ebacked Under46c231.57$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.621662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under44c225$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12618941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over64c202.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0419844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1108150.6%41 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under44c197.02$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.472254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72db…abc9backed Over57c192.56$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over60c190$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11418046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Over55c187.65$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.88742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Over55c182$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d6…da4cbacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.82458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Under46c179$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.664942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Under45c173.53$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.443158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+51.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over57c173.14$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6920447.1%96 W · 108 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under46c166.84$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.642147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Over56c155.36$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710256.9%58 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Under46c152.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.351060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under67c148.09$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1717248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaef9…9b3dbacked Under44c147$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.324100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over43c146$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.959852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over55c145.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.961442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Over54c140.86$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ca0…d5f8backed Under71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.854100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+105.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5810367%69 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Over24c128$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7245069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Over56c126.61$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.95651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6697955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b96…a6d5backed Under49c118.33$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.831258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b7…fd93backed Over13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.