NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82fb38b1d0f0cc211f41410b50bd4798f7bb2cc4d430c6ac13964e6f3b4575b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 40c | 2,595$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.89 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 65c | 1,806$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 60c | 1,193$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.51 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Over | 33c | 985.71$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.28 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…d0a8backed Over | 60c | 955.2$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 41c | 798.68$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Under | 39c | 676.1$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.42 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 57c | 599$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.57 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 62c | 588.73$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.63 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 65c | 586.53$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.32 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Over | 42c | 549.95$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 65c | 400.16$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.77 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 43c | 371.16$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.26 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 71c | 350$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 60c | 347.28$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.16 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Under | 13c | 327.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +671.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 39c | 325.41$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.04 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…d5f8backed Under | 31c | 272.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…0a3fbacked Over | 60c | 239.68$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 27c | 226.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.26 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 26c | 225.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.77 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 8c | 217.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 39c | 188.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Over | 67c | 180$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 48c | 160.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 33c | 147.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 26c | 145.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.41 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 75c | 131$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Over | 50c | 126.19$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 52c | 125.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 12c | 113.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +217.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over | 53c | 94.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 49c | 81.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 33c | 66.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 30c | 60.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 31c | 56.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 45c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 41c | 50.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 44c | 39.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 32c | 32.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 61c | 31.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 53c | 30.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 74c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 60c | 24.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 57c | 22.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Under | 78c | 15.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. Golden KnightsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-3.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.