NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08c2c8d73b81c8d1e27633338df027e0c9d97c74e8596cdc8bbb0e26527ecfdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 41c | 7,111$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.81 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 56c | 5,209$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.9 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 77c | 512.21$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.62 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 78c | 395.71$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 74c | 333$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 80c | 248.92$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…e920backed Under | 21c | 242.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 50c | 214$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Under | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x852e…e616backed Under | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 77c | 156$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 63c | 153.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 50c | 99.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 73c | 84.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Over | 54c | 70.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 78c | 62.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 45c | 55.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…7fe1backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…e673backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 71c | 39.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5531…76fcbacked Over | 60c | 38.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 59c | 33.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 51c | 30.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 68c | 24.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 2.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. Golden KnightsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-3.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.