NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8948244dfc29ecbfb74b1da558593d58fcd84d4ac6d4fa192611217acce9c929
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Golden Knights | 11c | 12,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Hurricanes | 33c | 3,898$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.42 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Golden Knights | 39c | 3,769$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.88 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Hurricanes | 18c | 3,694$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.02 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hurricanes | 65c | 2,615$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.31 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Golden Knights | 69c | 1,305$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Hurricanes | 20c | 1,062$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.19 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Golden Knights | 79c | 638.15$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.14 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Golden Knights | 80c | 556$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.8 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Golden Knights | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Hurricanes | 64c | 480$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Hurricanes | 21c | 477.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +71%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Hurricanes | 41c | 428$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.72 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +195.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Hurricanes | 42c | 368.4$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Hurricanes | 29c | 322.19$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.02 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Golden Knights | 60c | 300$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Hurricanes | 48c | 282$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Hurricanes | 52c | 232$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights | 53c | 226.84$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.13 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Hurricanes | 44c | 209.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Golden Knights | 28c | 199.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Golden Knights | 58c | 193.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cd…896abacked Hurricanes | 56c | 159.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Golden Knights | 48c | 155.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…4b79backed Golden Knights | 56c | 153.18$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes | 51c | 138.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Golden Knights | 34c | 115.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Hurricanes | 64c | 105$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Hurricanes | 40c | 93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…0a3fbacked Hurricanes | 38c | 82.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Golden Knights | 49c | 76.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Golden Knights | 70c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 65.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Hurricanes | 64c | 63.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13cc…962bbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Golden Knights | 74c | 57.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 48.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Hurricanes | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Hurricanes | 40c | 32.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Golden Knights | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Golden Knights | 65c | 28.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Hurricanes | 40c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Hurricanes | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 23.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)this page
- Hurricanes vs. Golden KnightsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-3.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.