NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c5db8e6aafc9c9000ac4cbe9457ba585d3a46d39c27d610ea7ed725ab3cd123
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 75c | 3,608$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.29 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 25c | 2,924$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.43 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 77c | 1,045$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.04 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…64acbacked Over | 24c | 787.61$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 23c | 427.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 76c | 302.65$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 77c | 238$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Over | 25c | 199.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 76c | 169$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 28c | 132.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Over | 24c | 122.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Over | 15c | 105.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +88%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 76c | 67.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 72c | 50.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…e8bcbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…10fcbacked Under | 76c | 33.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b9…df8ebacked Under | 77c | 32.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 73c | 23.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 73c | 23.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Under | 73c | 23.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 73c | 22.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 70c | 20.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 76c | 17.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. Golden KnightsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-3.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.