NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ebe91588e2edeadf462ef53252eb164ea39f42f06b6b6ff6a784b803fb8ca6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Golden Knights, Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Hurricanes | 72c | 5,407$3,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.68 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Golden Knights | 28c | 4,845$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.12 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Golden Knights | 28c | 895.19$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden Knights | 3c | 595.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Golden Knights | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Hurricanes | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Hurricanes | 73c | 390.45$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.66 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Golden Knights | 27c | 261.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes | 72c | 142.86$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Golden Knights | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hurricanes | 77c | 123.94$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1e…2ad4backed Golden Knights | 27c | 113$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Golden Knights | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce57…7b63backed Golden Knights | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Golden Knights | 18c | 102.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Hurricanes | 75c | 90.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Golden Knights | 27c | 81.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…d5f8backed Hurricanes | 74c | 78.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Hurricanes | 75c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…fe5dbacked Golden Knights | 27c | 63.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Hurricanes | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Hurricanes | 72c | 30.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Hurricanes | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Hurricanes | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Hurricanes | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…eb0bbacked Hurricanes | 73c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)this page
- Hurricanes vs. Golden KnightsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-3.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.