TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$267,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,619 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Hurricanes31c202,537$62,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139,776.2267051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Golden Knights69c153,692$106,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,047.3812146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Hurricanes41c14,448$5,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,579.9251045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Golden Knights69c12,479$8,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,564.7461950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Golden Knights69c10,640$7,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,292.3211952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Golden Knights69c10,489$7,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,237.4120756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Golden Knights59c9,532$5,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,664.982951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Golden Knights69c6,500$4,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4853351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc36e…12d8backed Golden Knights69c6,000$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,14010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Hurricanes32c4,696$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,193.14977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick48cpaid+65.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights68c3,671$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496.061,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Golden Knights69c3,500$2,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4154264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Hurricanes31c3,111$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.373174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Golden Knights69c3,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0706841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Golden Knights55c2,935$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Hurricanes32c2,594$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.2128749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights69c2,000$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.71,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Golden Knights55c1,939$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d35…06b5backed Golden Knights69c1,872$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Golden Knights69c1,640$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.62147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid0%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Golden Knights69c1,153$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.8183149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Golden Knights69c1,100$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7591154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Golden Knights69c999.96$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9814653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Hurricanes67c978.9$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.333756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Hurricanes31c909.87$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.811070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+71%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Golden Knights69c869.57$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011045.5%50 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes72c815.16$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.533,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Hurricanes31c760$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.410346.6%48 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Golden Knights69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Hurricanes31c700.18$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.627533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden Knights35c594.01$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9961848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Hurricanes58c450$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18745069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Golden Knights69c434.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Hurricanes31c420.13$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.892462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden Knights69c420$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.82755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Golden Knights40c378.46$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.635551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Hurricanes33c352.5$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.092360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Golden Knights41c329.9$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.23116.1%5 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe2c…88e0backed Hurricanes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.581163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+41.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Hurricanes46c301.19$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.745240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1b8…437cbacked Golden Knights70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights7c278.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5699638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Golden Knights30c261.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8141050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Golden Knights42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Golden Knights49c240.7$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2119844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Golden Knights69c240.26$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9876950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Hurricanes31c204.36$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.015543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda31…8e56backed Golden Knights62c200$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Golden Knights69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1388150.6%41 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Golden Knights24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-45.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Golden Knights43c194.35$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.362161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Golden Knights30c188.19$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2914347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb567…4d4abacked Hurricanes32c173.89$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.89966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+51%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Golden Knights57c169.01$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.671,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Golden Knights68c162.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked Hurricanes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.294228.6%12 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd45d…105abacked Golden Knights70c157.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Hurricanes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.255749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Golden Knights33c140.28$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9717248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Golden Knights69c133$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.776046.7%28 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Golden Knights69c127.82$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Golden Knights69c124.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9997955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Golden Knights69c115.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.961442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Hurricanes31c113.35$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.212770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Golden Knights69c112$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.289755.7%54 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Hurricanes34c108$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2829553.6%158 W · 137 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Golden Knights69c101.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8628753.3%153 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…c566backed Golden Knights55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Golden Knights31c98.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.671,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Hurricanes68c92.24$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.113360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1201…a74dbacked Golden Knights33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Golden Knights68c80$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6320855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5930…51d2backed Hurricanes32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.131957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Hurricanes32c77.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.724858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed Golden Knights70c77.19$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.035352.8%28 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd91e…a433backed Golden Knights69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Hurricanes39c68.16$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6565721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Hurricanes32c67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.561181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick50cpaid+69.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4f12…effbbacked Hurricanes46c60.58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.681040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Hurricanes61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.55352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Golden Knights57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.514840.5%60 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Hurricanes36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.021163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Golden Knights69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.534653.2%184 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Hurricanes31c48.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3971952.4%377 W · 342 L-2.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Golden Knights69c47.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1118453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Golden Knights63c47.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Golden Knights69c47.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ca…ba89backed Hurricanes32c46.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbf…d227backed Golden Knights29c45.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3340%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Hurricanes36c43.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8421355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Hurricanes32c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.239751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d2…4268backed Golden Knights69c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Golden Knights70c38.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274158.5%24 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a03…4066backed Golden Knights69c36.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc91c…bde0backed Golden Knights70c35.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4270…6168backed Golden Knights44c33.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-68.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x812c…b81fbacked Hurricanes31c32.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.641361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Golden Knights69c30.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9186549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Golden Knights49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.751343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe997…f92ebacked Golden Knights69c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.