TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe2c…88e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.66
Roland Garros ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+41.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
World Championships: Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norwaybacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+182.2%+$327.94
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$99.82
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-60.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+214.2%+$64.26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+143.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$91.13
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$106.67
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+164.2%+$65.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$76.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.