Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe70fd51f42e61fc309d8e57019a7b76c8dc7bd19b473351d56ff1e125ae0d9d4

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,085,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $25,728,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,085,381 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,887 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x96cf…1acbbacked No	49c	14,366,351$7,031,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,334,796.87	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.3wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+163.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes	52c	2,044,443$1,058,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058,110.31	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+140%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes	50c	1,339,184$674,744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674,744.32	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes	51c	1,207,960$621,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621,730.05	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c6a…0f47backed Yes	54c	900,000$486,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486,000	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No	46c	839,665$386,246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453,419.09	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Yes	54c	779,846$417,817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417,816.89	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Yes	51c	776,548$393,326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393,325.86	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Yes	43c	701,563$300,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300,089.46	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+3.5wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes	49c	696,655$343,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343,246.92	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb4…1057backed Yes	54c	600,000$324,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324,000	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Yes	50c	550,619$277,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277,416.47	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed No	46c	524,911$241,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283,452.19	165	46.1%76 W · 89 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed No	46c	522,590$240,391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282,198.35	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Yes	52c	510,853$266,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266,229.81	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	43c	440,711$191,691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191,690.54	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Yes	50c	400,000$201,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200,999.97	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…df43backed No	46c	399,998$183,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215,999.15	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes	50c	341,500$170,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170,750	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes	53c	268,877$142,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142,504.61	178	40.4%72 W · 106 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Yes	51c	265,191$136,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136,054.52	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes	52c	263,083$135,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135,494.61	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	45c	260,284$116,682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116,682.19	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes	51c	222,222$113,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113,333.21	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes	51c	205,680$104,897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104,896.73	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No	48c	200,000$96,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104,000	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67a…f0b6backed Yes	54c	200,000$108,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108,000	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-5.6wins	-0.27per pick	51cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xa4b1…5143backed Yes	54c	200,000$108,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108,000	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yes	52c	190,000$99,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,699.77	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No	51c	153,878$77,997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75,881.17	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Yes	47c	148,984$69,681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69,681.04	174	47.1%82 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4761…5ae8backed No	45c	136,911$62,138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74,772.61	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	53c	135,775$72,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72,494.81	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes	51c	134,835$69,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69,180.92	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No	45c	133,563$60,726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72,837.47	168	35.1%59 W · 109 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	51c	125,365$64,491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64,491.2	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Yes	51c	125,000$63,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63,499.99	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes	52c	124,459$64,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64,115.74	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed No	58c	119,712$69,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,279.01	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+7.8wins	+0.29per pick	45cpaid	+98.4%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No	49c	117,656$57,652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,004.65	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No	46c	117,317$54,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62,934.34	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes	38c	114,441$43,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,469.31	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked No	47c	101,695$48,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,445.85	152	49.3%75 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	51c	92,419$46,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,867.36	760	48.7%370 W · 390 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes	53c	90,000$47,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,699.99	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Yes	51c	80,000$41,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,199.99	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0402…4e41backed Yes	54c	78,800$42,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,552	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	50c	75,000$37,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,700	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Yes	33c	73,809$24,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,072.28	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes	14c	72,694$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c1…4cf3backed Yes	46c	72,542$33,323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,323.4	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Yes	41c	70,000$28,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,700	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Yes	53c	69,881$37,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,036.82	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Yes	43c	69,187$29,918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,917.63	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes	54c	69,053$37,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,000	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Yes	51c	64,281$32,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,636.13	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3693…d79ebacked No	48c	63,333$30,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,233.33	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes	55c	63,000$34,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,650	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes	33c	60,404$20,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,135.54	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed No	46c	55,717$25,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,087.18	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96a5…b4fabacked Yes	43c	55,222$23,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,530	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+26%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No	56c	54,270$30,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,112.38	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	31c	53,150$16,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,672.05	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed No	46c	50,000$23,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,000	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed No	46c	49,000$22,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,460	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+4.2wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Yes	51c	47,090$24,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,007	89	52.8%47 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	50c	46,792$23,605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,605.21	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed No	48c	46,464$22,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,146.62	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c66cbacked Yes	52c	41,838$21,674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,673.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked No	46c	40,000$18,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,600	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes	54c	40,000$21,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,400	139	59.7%83 W · 56 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Yes	50c	40,000$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Yes	53c	40,000$21,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,200	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.9wins	-0.26per pick	54cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes	17c	40,000$6,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,799.99	270	39.6%107 W · 163 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Yes	51c	39,762$20,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,278.62	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Yes	50c	39,258$19,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,629.15	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Yes	52c	39,045$20,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,303.6	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdef6…f63abacked Yes	52c	37,493$19,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,496.21	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes	18c	37,333$6,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,751.68	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Yes	51c	35,932$18,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,325.22	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72f8…1dfcbacked Yes	52c	35,743$18,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,586.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9eb…6a67backed Yes	53c	35,600$18,868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,868	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+81.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Yes	27c	34,715$9,359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,359.07	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes	52c	33,332$17,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,232.65	218	36.2%79 W · 139 L	-19.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes	50c	31,985$16,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,092.31	166	47%78 W · 88 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes	52c	30,480$15,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,907.85	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4795…0fb0backed Yes	43c	29,839$12,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,752.47	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No	74c	29,067$21,628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,438.6	319	45.5%145 W · 174 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	48c	28,499$13,798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,701.35	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Yes	40c	28,357$11,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,300	81	35.8%29 W · 52 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No	72c	26,908$19,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,500.34	333	37.8%126 W · 207 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes	51c	26,622$13,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,496.44	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df4…fc58backed Yes	43c	26,187$11,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,388.91	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8436…4c19backed No	48c	26,000$12,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,389.85	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No	46c	24,869$11,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,429.11	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes	51c	23,894$12,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,275.94	239	49.4%118 W · 121 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…fc3fbacked No	74c	23,586$17,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,132.44	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Yes	52c	22,895$11,915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,914.96	249	50.2%125 W · 124 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Yes	50c	22,500$11,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,325	132	59.1%78 W · 54 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ee…b834backed Yes	13c	22,480$2,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,925.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?this page
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?Yes won
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event