Fifa International · resolved market
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d32282db59ec449edbc191b4b487b7f8218c07d6f94b0c01e2e7ddf6964c26d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,238,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,127,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,238,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,010 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed No | 80c | 200,000$160,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 20c | 162,927$32,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,584.53 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 19c | 150,000$28,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,500 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 132,449$26,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,249.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 21c | 95,000$19,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,950 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 73c | 82,326$59,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,526.47 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes | 21c | 70,000$14,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,356.83 | 239 | 42.3%101 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 79c | 66,254$52,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,909.47 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 21c | 63,944$13,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,551.18 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 6c | 55,556$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,390.41 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Yes | 21c | 50,689$10,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,475.49 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 80c | 44,999$35,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,199.74 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 79c | 42,961$33,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,013.56 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 55c | 40,722$22,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,329.83 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 20c | 33,333$6,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,666.6 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 19c | 28,445$5,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,305.89 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 52c | 28,125$14,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,393.36 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 20c | 26,110$5,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,160.89 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked No | 69c | 22,386$15,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,010.78 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 79c | 22,090$17,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,638.9 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 22,070$16,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,239.9 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 76c | 21,800$16,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,140 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 21c | 21,759$4,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,569.38 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked Yes | 20c | 21,250$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 28cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked Yes | 41c | 18,686$7,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,751.13 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 28c | 18,141$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015.9 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…7e03backed Yes | 20c | 17,595$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.03 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Yes | 46c | 16,417$7,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,519.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Yes | 42c | 16,165$6,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,789.27 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Yes | 27c | 16,092$4,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278.38 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 58c | 15,143$8,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,295.44 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 13,800$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.25 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 78c | 13,487$10,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.86 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…a203backed Yes | 18c | 13,000$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.12 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f378backed Yes | 19c | 12,984$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.96 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…87b3backed Yes | 19c | 12,714$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 80c | 12,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked No | 56c | 11,934$6,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250.79 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 33c | 11,407$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,765.24 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 43c | 11,111$4,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,333.21 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 17c | 11,000$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5370…4de5backed Yes | 2c | 10,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…79fbbacked Yes | 19c | 10,213$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.55 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 13c | 10,008$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.6 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.97 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca1…618ebacked Yes | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94c…3cd9backed No | 79c | 9,999$7,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 9,293$7,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.7 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked Yes | 21c | 8,910$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.04 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 58c | 8,719$5,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,057.04 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…2c45backed Yes | 19c | 8,050$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked No | 56c | 8,013$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,512.82 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Yes | 14c | 8,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 79c | 8,000$6,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.42 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 39c | 7,995$3,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,129.13 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 80c | 7,805$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.83 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Yes | 50c | 7,243$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 205 | 47.3%97 W · 108 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 63c | 6,950$4,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,387.62 | 122 | 66.4%81 W · 41 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 22c | 6,820$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.66 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked No | 80c | 6,695$5,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.94 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…f74bbacked Yes | 20c | 6,602$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.44 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…0977backed Yes | 15c | 6,573$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 31c | 6,486$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 20c | 6,335$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.25 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed No | 78c | 6,330$4,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.6 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Yes | 18c | 6,074$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.93 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…679cbacked Yes | 47c | 6,000$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 9c | 5,986$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 79c | 5,850$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.47 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5448…1a7bbacked Yes | 18c | 5,389$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 67c | 5,168$3,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.54 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 13c | 5,121$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.9 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…b795backed Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…e7f3backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c11…bd90backed No | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15dd…11dbbacked Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…02ccbacked Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes | 23c | 4,994$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.09 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked No | 56c | 4,963$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.28 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes | 19c | 4,920$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.59 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes | 22c | 4,772$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.99 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Yes | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…6b45backed Yes | 56c | 4,693$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 28c | 4,631$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.62 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed No | 44c | 4,517$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.51 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 4,515$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.7 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 63c | 4,509$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.2 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b08…796cbacked Yes | 18c | 4,431$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 36c | 4,375$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.96 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Yes | 20c | 4,073$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.62 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 79c | 4,001$3,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.21 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…4871backed No | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…f649backed Yes | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ad68backed Yes | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 65c | 3,979$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.68 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Yes | 20c | 3,865$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773 | 142 | 31.7%45 W · 97 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?this page
- Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?Yes won
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.