Fifa International · resolved market
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd05a73f2ddf6c07340b4f1c6c853c4754b2f4428045fec1b295c192e399e563
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,425,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,015,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,425,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,732 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Yes | 29c | 423,112$122,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300,409.3 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…cbd0backed Yes | 29c | 400,000$116,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284,000 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 71c | 213,001$150,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,547.95 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed No | 71c | 192,326$136,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,551.28 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 71c | 149,320$106,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,017.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +140%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 147,668$97,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,503.46 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked No | 49c | 111,363$54,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,760.38 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked No | 71c | 110,463$78,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,429.01 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 31c | 97,076$29,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,244.2 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 65c | 92,568$60,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,280.07 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 72c | 89,998$64,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,465.42 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 76,702$55,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,095.36 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…16ecbacked Yes | 28c | 70,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,400 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 61,843$28,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,896.11 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 55c | 59,228$32,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,738.55 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Yes | 60c | 54,948$33,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,744.37 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 32c | 52,217$16,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,367.19 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 73c | 50,000$36,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 62cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 45c | 45,753$20,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,153.2 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Yes | 27c | 31,296$8,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,845.87 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 71c | 30,000$21,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,300 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b31…67a9backed Yes | 30c | 27,612$8,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,328.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…20fbbacked Yes | 51c | 25,462$12,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,561.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 55c | 25,117$13,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,321.96 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 20c | 25,070$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980.1 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 20,668$10,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,464.49 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 40c | 18,673$7,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,124.99 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 23c | 18,375$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.83 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 17,867$8,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,644.07 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 13,620$9,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,700.56 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa398…6c83backed Yes | 29c | 13,450$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,549.26 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 13,069$5,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,729.93 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 55c | 12,133$6,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,408.87 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 59c | 11,898$6,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,918.17 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e4…07b1backed Yes | 45c | 11,879$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,478.92 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 57c | 11,616$6,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,637.93 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e3…22d5backed Yes | 28c | 11,250$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,074.96 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 62c | 11,088$6,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,252.51 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked No | 72c | 10,269$7,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,393.68 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdadf…db89backed Yes | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,299.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 37c | 9,187$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.29 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…6b45backed Yes | 33c | 9,032$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,088.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 28c | 8,519$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,145.79 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 45c | 7,595$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.44 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 63c | 7,502$4,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.23 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 69c | 7,448$5,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170.57 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 34c | 7,446$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.52 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 30c | 7,150$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,026.93 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…b06abacked Yes | 28c | 7,143$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,142.86 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 18c | 7,100$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.5 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 56c | 7,039$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970.1 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 80c | 6,916$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.88 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 71c | 6,897$4,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,896.54 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed No | 71c | 6,849$4,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862.62 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…c4d1backed No | 71c | 6,768$4,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,805.08 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…1846backed Yes | 31c | 6,452$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,451.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…650cbacked No | 38c | 6,049$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.78 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 70c | 6,041$4,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,228.7 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc0…a531backed Yes | 76c | 5,734$4,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 63c | 5,652$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.63 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 76c | 5,452$4,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.25 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 40c | 5,398$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.24 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 70c | 5,363$3,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.23 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…b795backed Yes | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 72c | 5,000$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 72c | 4,999$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.52 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 71c | 4,929$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.59 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked No | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 72c | 4,668$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.1 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 72c | 4,416$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.52 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 71c | 4,194$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.86 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…f032backed Yes | 52c | 4,109$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.9 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…5b36backed Yes | 29c | 4,083$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.93 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 72c | 4,000$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.02 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 38c | 3,996$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.33 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 55c | 3,991$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.84 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 72c | 3,917$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.01 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 36c | 3,910$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.79 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 55c | 3,852$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 63c | 3,590$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.9 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdae…c02ebacked Yes | 50c | 3,584$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.92 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…5dc9backed Yes | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.28 | 132 | 37.1%49 W · 83 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 72c | 3,414$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.44 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Yes | 31c | 3,320$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.34 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 72c | 3,244$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 63c | 3,229$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.29 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Yes | 48c | 3,198$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.87 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Yes | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.3 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 71c | 2,971$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.41 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 2,955$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.05 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Yes | 28c | 2,951$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.33 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…3ee2backed Yes | 46c | 2,892$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.5 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…a925backed Yes | 30c | 2,834$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.06 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 28c | 2,810$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.19 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed Yes | 36c | 2,808$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.09 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 49c | 2,728$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.72 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Yes | 57c | 2,654$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.51 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?this page
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?No won
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.