TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa32…bd9a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
623
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT9145.1%41 W · 50 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$318
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$195.84
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$2,911.3
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$913Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$913
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$8,325Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$3,174.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,775.16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,589Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,588.54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+195%+$1,652.5
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$780
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$699.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10,002Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+158.2%+$15,819.09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30,031Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+126.6%+$38,032.54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,980Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$1,020
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+278.2%+$3,310
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,093.22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,984Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,984.32
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,312.32
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.99
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,254.95
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$636
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,023Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$2,575.93
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$5,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,167
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT8444%37 W · 47 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,475Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,025
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,278.21
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,309Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+74.7%+$977.52
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.3%+$233.89
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+57.7%+$1,279.99
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,016Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.3%+$1,034
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.2%+$905.97
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$795
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$292
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$451.6
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,856Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+112.5%+$9,962.81
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10,152.14
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$433.39
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15,741Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$4,334.51
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,935
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,166
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Will Elon register the America Party before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$55.49
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+136.1%+$980
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,021.83
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$855
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,482Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,481.85
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.46
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT4546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.14
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Group Abacked Top Esports Challenger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.38
LoL: The Bandits vs Senshi Esports Club - Game 2 Winnerbacked Senshi Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.99
LoL: DOCISK vs devils.one - Game 2 Winnerbacked DOCISK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$527.99
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$104
LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$254.78
LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$159.96
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$264
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.98
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.22
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$134.71
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.56
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.99
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$159.15
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT4544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$407.99
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$684
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$888Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$312
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.98
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$924Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$276
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,295.99
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$492
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$420
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$504
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$300
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,147
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,512Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$488
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$300
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.7
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,375
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$191.99
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,258Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+130.6%+$1,642.4
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,775Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$1,225
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,119.99
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,901Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,116.59
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$444
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,847.99
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Haiti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.25
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,004Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$559.57
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$472
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$252
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$480
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.33
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$17.55
Nets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$576
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$384
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$564
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$612
Spread: Nets (-6.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$600
Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33.1
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,275
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.95
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$899.99
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+129.9%+$678
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,391.99
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$135
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,884
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$416
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+41.3%+$495.7
Celtics vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$127.5
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST3138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Allbirds (BIRD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$40.82
Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+75.4%+$107.5
Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$95.98
Will Papa John’s International (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$112.5
Will DuPont de Nemours (DD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$122.5
Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$122
Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$79.74
Will Lyft (LYFT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+26.6%+$168
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$120
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$146
Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$170
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$105
Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.99
Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$236.99
Will CVS Health (CVS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Otis Worldwide (OTIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Penske Automotive Group (PAG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$204.99
Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.99
Will United Parcel Service (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$32.37
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT3043.3%13 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$647.98
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$671.99
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,646Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,645.79
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.42
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$668
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,049.54
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.91
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,082Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$290.07
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$396
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+148.8%+$1,196
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+174.9%+$922.37
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$1,259.96
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,083Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$1,352.8
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$45.08
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,104.87
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.92
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+133.8%+$1,315.94
Jets vs. Utahbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$320
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Canadiensbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$509.98
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,461Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.6%+$753.87
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$67.25
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20,923Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.4%+$17,032.7
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,617Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,617
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$85.54
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,940Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.9%+$559.99
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$140
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11,371Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+28%+$3,179
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$495
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$264
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.5
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,146.06
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$276
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10,437Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$2,812.55
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$172
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,798Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+48%+$3,263.25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$440
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33,916Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+49.8%+$16,897.68
Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$726.28
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16,082Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+37.7%+$6,059.66
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$389
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-61.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,005.5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$723.8
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$828Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$372
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$288
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21,904Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+32.4%+$7,095.94
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$4,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$4,322.43
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,087Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+30.4%+$1,244.53
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$466
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,265Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36%+$1,535
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13,024Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+93.9%+$12,232.31
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$104.4
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.43
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$57.5
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$75
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,520
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$844
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$805
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 20 or more times during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$183
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2548%12 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+566.7%+$680
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$327.99
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$177
Will MrBeast be the next CEO of X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.65
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$428.64
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+78.6%+$220
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$640
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+49.3%+$396
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$443.99
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$75
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$359.99
OpenAI browser by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$133.46
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,385.99
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$88.02
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$248
OpenAI browser by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$130
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$474.6
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$482
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$392
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,615Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+53%+$1,385
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13,205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+62.8%+$8,294.63
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$207.98
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$319.26
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$672
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,536Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$864
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+270.4%+$730
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.93
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$89
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Diamondbacks vs. Brewersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Angels vs. Rangersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.07
Phillies vs. Metsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.5
Rays vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$122.5
Phillies vs. Metsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Nationals vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$85
Twins vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$112.5
Rays vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.5
Braves vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$135
Giants vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
Mets vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$559
Braves vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$305
Nationals vs. Cardinalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$86
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,840
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$525
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6.08
Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$265
Will Mark Golding be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$264
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+35.5%+$148.15
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+446.4%+$817
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,298.99
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$776Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+157.7%+$1,224
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$7,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,559.95
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.99
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+37%+$188.98
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$337.44
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.72
Will Loren Taylor win the Oakland mayoral race?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Will Carney say "Elon" or "Musk" during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$700
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$111.27
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Falcons Force - Map 2 Winnerbacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$166.13
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$62.5
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.24
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs AaB Esport (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked AaB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.64
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group Abacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.19
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Chicken Coop Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$280
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,271.98
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Nexus (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Abacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$416.11
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Counter-Strike: OG vs NIP (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.18
Counter-Strike: OG vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.88
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 1 Winnerbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$62.79
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$950
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+56.2%+$899.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$344
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51%+$354.5
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$115
All 19 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$156.76
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$264
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$320
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Abacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.42
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$392
Dota 2: MODUS vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Abacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$180
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$492
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$584
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$168
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$456
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$287.99
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.31
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - CCT Playoffsbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,352Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$626.94
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Lynx (BO3) - CCT Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.95
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,100
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+58%+$705.67
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+669.2%+$435
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12,924Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+32.1%+$4,143.37
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+64.6%+$506.94
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$602.4
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,881Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.4%+$818.8
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+96.5%+$196.4
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$749.86
Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$44
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,824Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,824
Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+170.3%+$230.3
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+56.2%+$540
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$800
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,681Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+41.3%+$1,518.99
Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$956Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+25.5%+$243.6
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$275
Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+334.8%+$769.98
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$289.97
Will the Vikings win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$218
Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 12 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.47
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,512Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$430.33
Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$132.96
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$400
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$528
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Ranking Matchesbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$375.99
Valorant: MIBR vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.99
Valorant: TYLOO vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$803.95
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
All 11 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$348
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,965Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+52.7%+$1,034.99
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,272
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,313Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$510.77
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11,045.91
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$210
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,918Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$6,917.71
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,179Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$5,178.81
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,330Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.5%+$1,944.63
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,580Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$8,541.94
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,499.96
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$600
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,765Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,765
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,689.97
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$328
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+86.4%+$200
All 8 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-69.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$560
Clemson Tigers vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$540
Spread: Boise State Broncos (-5.5)backed Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$132.49
San Francisco Dons vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+28.2%+$55
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+87%+$730.21
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-69.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,970Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,529.97
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$3,569.57
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$753.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$488
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.