Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIBR vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1809b342eef2df4231fa9ea0afb6857346c813c585cd3dad2db087a737271212
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed LOUD | 15c | 2,584$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.18 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked LOUD | 18c | 2,311$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked LOUD | 6c | 2,182$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed LOUD | 6c | 2,158$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed LOUD | 19c | 1,998$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.61 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked LOUD | 18c | 1,971$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.81 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked LOUD | 15c | 1,803$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…eaa4backed LOUD | 19c | 1,714$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.71 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed LOUD | 14c | 1,206$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.82 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed LOUD | 22c | 1,069$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.35 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed LOUD | 14c | 999.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed LOUD | 19c | 953.2$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.28 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed LOUD | 16c | 870.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked LOUD | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked LOUD | 8c | 740.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LOUD | 14c | 734.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LOUD | 18c | 649.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed LOUD | 15c | 599.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked LOUD | 14c | 499.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +10.9wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LOUD | 6c | 482.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed LOUD | 11c | 457$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked LOUD | 15c | 446.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked LOUD | 17c | 438.45$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed LOUD | 17c | 401.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae8…7025backed LOUD | 10c | 368.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed LOUD | 19c | 293.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…aee3backed LOUD | 15c | 284.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcb…3a30backed LOUD | 14c | 254.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed LOUD | 15c | 245.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed LOUD | 15c | 243.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MIBR | 80c | 235.29$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4b…e496backed LOUD | 15c | 216.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +187.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed LOUD | 16c | 213.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…3648backed LOUD | 15c | 200.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da9…d940backed LOUD | 13c | 193.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…6821backed LOUD | 15c | 158.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked LOUD | 15c | 146.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked LOUD | 14c | 133.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff3…2d85backed LOUD | 13c | 132.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LOUD | 18c | 132.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked LOUD | 14c | 110.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LOUD | 11c | 104$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed LOUD | 14c | 100.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked LOUD | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…fd33backed LOUD | 16c | 88.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed LOUD | 17c | 84.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked LOUD | 14c | 79.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MIBR | 79c | 74.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed LOUD | 15c | 73.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked LOUD | 16c | 68.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa085…7fccbacked LOUD | 19c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked LOUD | 16c | 61.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed MIBR | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…f4f7backed MIBR | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: MIBR vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphathis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)MIBR won
- Valorant: MIBR vs LOUD - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Valorant: MIBR vs LOUD - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.