Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIBR vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d88b6858bca799c8f1e3d386bfd9444cfc6b8374bfc7facaf0b284b706d06d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed LOUD | 27c | 2,294$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.3 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed LOUD | 25c | 1,889$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.31 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked LOUD | 27c | 883.82$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed MIBR | 72c | 708.66$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.15 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked LOUD | 7c | 551.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed MIBR | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked LOUD | 28c | 483.23$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.58 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MIBR | 73c | 382.41$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked LOUD | 27c | 276.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MIBR | 78c | 267.33$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked LOUD | 28c | 262.34$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed LOUD | 13c | 257.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed LOUD | 26c | 257.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed LOUD | 18c | 246.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MIBR | 76c | 239.3$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked LOUD | 26c | 202.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed LOUD | 13c | 200.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked MIBR | 62c | 174.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +11.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MIBR | 75c | 170.62$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked MIBR | 68c | 168.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MIBR | 73c | 159.17$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9067…bfaabacked LOUD | 25c | 148.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed LOUD | 10c | 143.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed LOUD | 26c | 138.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked LOUD | 23c | 131.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed MIBR | 69c | 125.52$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed MIBR | 68c | 100.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LOUD | 11c | 99.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked LOUD | 21c | 99.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MIBR | 77c | 92.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…fa8abacked MIBR | 68c | 86.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…ccc5backed LOUD | 14c | 76.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MIBR | 68c | 64.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LOUD | 28c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked MIBR | 68c | 41.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…d719backed MIBR | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed MIBR | 74c | 19.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: MIBR vs LOUD - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)MIBR won
- Valorant: MIBR vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaMIBR won
- Valorant: MIBR vs LOUD - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.