Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x835f385fe0aaecd2764b986281c245b089743648bbc0d94cc98c52d4323eaaa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed LOUD | 43c | 1,900$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed LOUD | 37c | 1,611$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.19 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed LOUD | 41c | 804.84$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.94 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed MIBR | 57c | 730.65$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked MIBR | 58c | 652.11$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed LOUD | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked MIBR | 57c | 488.76$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.17 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…895dbacked MIBR | 70c | 329.53$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked LOUD | 28c | 256.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…38c4backed MIBR | 63c | 255.94$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed LOUD | 43c | 224.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…b30ebacked MIBR | 63c | 222.16$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked MIBR | 63c | 201.41$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed MIBR | 60c | 163.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed MIBR | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MIBR | 58c | 148.52$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…8c95backed MIBR | 57c | 136.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked MIBR | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked LOUD | 34c | 129.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked MIBR | 59c | 120.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…e2e8backed MIBR | 66c | 110.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…b444backed MIBR | 79c | 97.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…26f7backed MIBR | 63c | 82.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a5…2563backed MIBR | 63c | 82.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed MIBR | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked MIBR | 61c | 79.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b75dbacked LOUD | 42c | 78.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…653cbacked MIBR | 57c | 78.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…49a3backed MIBR | 57c | 76.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…007bbacked MIBR | 63c | 71.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd5…8657backed MIBR | 59c | 65.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…b005backed MIBR | 63c | 61.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…0359backed MIBR | 63c | 50.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…cee0backed MIBR | 57c | 49.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed MIBR | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…7588backed LOUD | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20db…d953backed MIBR | 63c | 46.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed MIBR | 63c | 43.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3f…233cbacked MIBR | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed MIBR | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5345…dd4abacked MIBR | 57c | 38.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…ec9abacked MIBR | 63c | 37.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb7…4a53backed MIBR | 57c | 36.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8283…828abacked MIBR | 57c | 36.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb0…ed25backed LOUD | 37c | 35.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed MIBR | 60c | 35.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed MIBR | 57c | 34.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442c…f1cbbacked MIBR | 63c | 31.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed MIBR | 57c | 28.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…20e3backed MIBR | 63c | 27.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed MIBR | 78c | 27.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee1a…f499backed MIBR | 57c | 27.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed MIBR | 60c | 27.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked MIBR | 64c | 25.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…c39cbacked MIBR | 63c | 22.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…91dbbacked MIBR | 63c | 21.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed MIBR | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaead…12e1backed MIBR | 63c | 19.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a9…c9a5backed MIBR | 63c | 18.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0916…78fbbacked MIBR | 63c | 17.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: MIBR vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaMIBR won
- Valorant: MIBR vs LOUD - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Valorant: MIBR vs LOUD - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.