TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7d8…e2e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Dota2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5151%26 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+120.1%+$13.21
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.31
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.21
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.26
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$38.08
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)backed KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$74.29
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Division One - Map 3 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Valorant: Division One vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+238.2%+$49.56
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Valorant: MIR vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffsbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.67
Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.19
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)backed KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.54
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.82
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.03
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.4
Map Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs GamerLegion (+2.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$253.79
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$33.14
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$39.91
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$36.47
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.03
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$23.02
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$58.87
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.89
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.63
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.63
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.66
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick48cpaid+93.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.99
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.14
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.89
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$42.19
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.81
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+129.6%+$50.08
Dota 2: MODUS vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.42
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$38
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+261.2%+$55.34
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$95.41
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$56.84
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$62.63
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$42.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.