Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIR vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec208aa2ac007cc3f966e5bd54dba310f79e5a8de8866acf7790f16f3f22c71c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NAVI Juniorof MIR, NAVI Junior
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked MIR | 55c | 3,005$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.9 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed NAVI Junior | 44c | 2,439$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.63 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed NAVI Junior | 45c | 1,076$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.89 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…9c40backed MIR | 65c | 498.43$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed MIR | 63c | 321.26$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.39 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed NAVI Junior | 35c | 321.26$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked MIR | 46c | 278.62$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.01 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed MIR | 59c | 252.73$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.14 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed NAVI Junior | 37c | 234.43$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed NAVI Junior | 43c | 178.6$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed NAVI Junior | 35c | 170$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked NAVI Junior | 42c | 161.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed MIR | 57c | 133.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed MIR | 55c | 125$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NAVI Junior | 35c | 96.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed MIR | 55c | 90.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…9ef4backed MIR | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked NAVI Junior | 37c | 84.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NAVI Junior | 53c | 82.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed NAVI Junior | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked MIR | 57c | 67.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…3738backed MIR | 60c | 62.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked MIR | 63c | 46.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…42c4backed MIR | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72af…c833backed NAVI Junior | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked NAVI Junior | 38c | 39.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a6…0a68backed NAVI Junior | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked MIR | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed NAVI Junior | 36c | 34.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed NAVI Junior | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked MIR | 38c | 28.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…e2e8backed NAVI Junior | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe58e…2ee8backed MIR | 58c | 25.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed NAVI Junior | 63c | 22.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed NAVI Junior | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed MIR | 52c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…1588backed MIR | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed NAVI Junior | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.