Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x809f0e0464cb3b9c3c49d15be91600aa156489f638ad1ba023fccbfcdeb73658
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,653,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,757,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,653,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 916 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 69c | 293,907$202,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,217.12 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 4c | 183,397$7,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,648.63 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…5501backed No | 0c | 94,247$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 31c | 55,502$17,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,205.58 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…5448backed No | 34c | 50,878$17,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,350.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 35c | 44,050$15,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,417.41 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 30c | 42,250$12,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,785.35 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 65c | 40,971$26,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,339.73 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 1c | 40,358$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.43 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 32,513$10,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,157.75 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Yes | 65c | 31,660$20,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,081.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 27c | 29,021$7,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,771.91 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed No | 31c | 28,372$8,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,830.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 35c | 28,177$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900.24 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked No | 35c | 27,457$9,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,610 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 34c | 25,956$8,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,825.09 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 38c | 25,859$9,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,783.76 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 32c | 24,103$7,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,830.83 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…a3e3backed Yes | 69c | 24,091$16,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,468.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 5c | 24,044$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.65 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 31c | 20,900$6,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,483.24 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 4c | 20,193$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.58 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed No | 30c | 19,970$5,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,991.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 31c | 16,560$5,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,053.57 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 39c | 16,500$6,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,434.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 37c | 15,852$5,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,865.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 30c | 15,384$4,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,615.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 36c | 15,355$5,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,457.87 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 35c | 15,300$5,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,354.93 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 31c | 14,676$4,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,571.43 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 30c | 14,400$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.96 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 33c | 13,005$4,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,241.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 35c | 12,240$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 31c | 11,326$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540.26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 25c | 8,436$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.21 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Yes | 68c | 8,300$5,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 29c | 8,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +154.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 30c | 7,922$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.64 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 35c | 7,650$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 65c | 7,531$4,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 65c | 7,478$4,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.86 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 30c | 7,410$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.77 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 33c | 6,801$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.32 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 38c | 6,682$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.23 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 6,574$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.11 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 34c | 6,383$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.24 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 30c | 6,300$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 68c | 6,300$4,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 34c | 6,180$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 29c | 5,990$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.07 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 67c | 5,980$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.48 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 65c | 5,908$3,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.29 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 57c | 5,752$3,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,268.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 35c | 5,660$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…b0e9backed No | 31c | 5,513$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked No | 2c | 5,468$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 7c | 5,144$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.17 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 34c | 5,032$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.86 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 44c | 4,929$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 5c | 4,851$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.47 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 65c | 4,615$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.58 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…e110backed No | 31c | 4,543$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Yes | 63c | 4,525$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.03 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 62c | 4,266$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.92 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Yes | 70c | 4,124$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.32 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 63c | 3,877$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.33 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 31c | 3,834$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.66 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2895…2c58backed Yes | 69c | 3,784$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.15 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…8c99backed Yes | 65c | 3,395$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 32c | 3,357$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.3 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…0b69backed Yes | 66c | 3,097$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 14c | 3,038$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.82 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked No | 2c | 3,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 26cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed No | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed No | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 69c | 2,995$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.42 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 66c | 2,968$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.28 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 65c | 2,937$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.95 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 39c | 2,840$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.56 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes | 67c | 2,595$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 30c | 2,574$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.24 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 43c | 2,518$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.08 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…fb65backed Yes | 61c | 2,442$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.19 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…68f0backed Yes | 69c | 2,440$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 30c | 2,400$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 32c | 2,380$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.96 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 63c | 2,311$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.68 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 69c | 2,133$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.38 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 31c | 2,068$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.86 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 63c | 2,064$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.54 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed No | 34c | 2,050$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 30c | 2,021$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.59 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed No | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 69c | 1,981$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.18 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.