TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa362…a3e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Cricket, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 53 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2572%18 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santos: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Jose Pereirabacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$8,928Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$2,525.88
Santos: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Ryan Dickersonbacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,429.37
Brazzaville: Reda Bennani vs Paulo Dos Santosbacked Reda Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12,854Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$5,493.96
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jennifer Ruggeribacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11,567Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$6,953.34
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,307.33
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Jan Choinskibacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14,031Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$4,903.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Beatrice Ricci vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11,253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$4,188.95
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Juan Martin vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$3,559.84
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Renta Tokudabacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$216.16
Wuxi: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Tianhui Zhangbacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,418Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$503.82
Mauthausen: David Jorda Sanchis vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12,727Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$5,871.29
Huzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Rada Zolotarevabacked Hanyu Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27,289Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+42%+$11,470.82
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Emilio Navabacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17,561Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$4,400.78
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$4,161.91
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12,852Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$6,060.27
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Keninbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5,031.78
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+257.2%+$1,179.66
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Nuria Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,040.6
Gwangju: Clement Chidekh vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,502.59
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12,087Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3,610.5
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.92
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$51.19
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46,253.18
Busan: Kasidit Samrej vs August Holmgrenbacked Kasidit Samrej · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.31
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,514.94
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15,101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28%+$4,222.92
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17,033Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$8,879.36
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,168.39
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,919.53
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,968Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$9,997.36
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$5,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,161.48
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,733Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,732.52
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,414.78
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.9
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.07
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17,781Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+275.2%+$48,934.42
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$54,238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$27,976.83
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16,623Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7,468.2
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$9,613Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,613.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,096.64
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,930.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,599.98
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+288.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,870Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+288.3%+$11,155.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14,883Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$8,502.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,311Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,311.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39,434Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39,433.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.