Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Emilio Nava
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c38457aa65379c26a02082ec70b61331bc43bc1ad0afbb48e2b95b68e39c49f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arthur Filsof Arthur Fils, Emilio Nava
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $558,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $652,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $558,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Emilio Nava | 14c | 51,403$7,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,127.12 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Emilio Nava | 13c | 22,211$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.39 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…a3e3backed Arthur Fils | 80c | 21,961$17,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.78 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Arthur Fils | 78c | 15,210$11,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.39 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Emilio Nava | 15c | 12,691$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.61 | 134 | 27.6%37 W · 97 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Emilio Nava | 6c | 11,032$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.63 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Emilio Nava | 16c | 10,463$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.86 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Emilio Nava | 7c | 9,755$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.85 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Emilio Nava | 3c | 8,515$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.72 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Emilio Nava | 21c | 8,210$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.28 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Emilio Nava | 14c | 8,195$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.32 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arthur Fils | 79c | 7,659$6,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.1 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…fcc9backed Emilio Nava | 25c | 7,610$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.74 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…b23ebacked Emilio Nava | 1c | 7,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Arthur Fils | 78c | 7,148$5,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.08 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Emilio Nava | 14c | 7,101$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.12 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Emilio Nava | 10c | 6,406$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.45 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Emilio Nava | 6c | 5,222$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.28 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Emilio Nava | 4c | 4,987$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.69 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Emilio Nava | 13c | 4,219$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.9 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Emilio Nava | 22c | 4,214$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.83 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Emilio Nava | 6c | 3,806$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.35 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Emilio Nava | 21c | 3,643$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.08 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Emilio Nava | 2c | 3,185$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed Arthur Fils | 79c | 3,177$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.06 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Emilio Nava | 9c | 2,990$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.34 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked Emilio Nava | 22c | 2,639$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.65 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Arthur Fils | 79c | 2,525$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.81 | 257 | 64.6%166 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…3733backed Emilio Nava | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Emilio Nava | 2c | 2,500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Emilio Nava | 14c | 2,443$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Emilio Nava | 9c | 2,377$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.55 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Emilio Nava | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ff…405cbacked Emilio Nava | 21c | 2,268$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Emilio Nava | 15c | 2,133$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.94 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6d…3ef9backed Emilio Nava | 22c | 2,000$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Emilio Nava | 20c | 1,904$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.8 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Emilio Nava | 14c | 1,779$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Emilio Nava | 3c | 1,670$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Emilio Nava | 15c | 1,652$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.87 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Arthur Fils | 78c | 1,600$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 366 | 61.7%226 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…8020backed Emilio Nava | 24c | 1,563$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.66 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Emilio Nava | 15c | 1,361$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.22 | 408 | 36.8%150 W · 258 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Emilio Nava | 23c | 1,230$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.19 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Emilio Nava | 15c | 1,132$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.72 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Emilio Nava | 7c | 1,053$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Emilio Nava | 15c | 999.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Emilio Nava | 21c | 952.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.05 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Emilio Nava | 17c | 950.2$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.53 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9277backed Emilio Nava | 6c | 943.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Emilio Nava | 17c | 936.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Emilio Nava | 5c | 935.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Emilio Nava | 26c | 925.88$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.87 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Emilio Nava | 21c | 865.37$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.73 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Emilio Nava | 15c | 851.53$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43b…5913backed Emilio Nava | 22c | 849.21$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.83 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…8722backed Emilio Nava | 7c | 809.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Emilio Nava | 17c | 760.16$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.23 | 331 | 49.2%163 W · 168 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Arthur Fils | 79c | 759.06$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.52 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Emilio Nava | 20c | 744.27$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.66 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbb…c0fdbacked Arthur Fils | 80c | 697.13$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…3efebacked Emilio Nava | 14c | 677.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Arthur Fils | 74c | 665.14$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Emilio Nava | 15c | 632.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Emilio Nava | 14c | 609.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Emilio Nava | 21c | 585.35$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.78 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…7615backed Emilio Nava | 22c | 543.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.68 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Emilio Nava | 16c | 531.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 130 | 33.8%44 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b01…125ebacked Emilio Nava | 5c | 524.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Emilio Nava | 6c | 501.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Emilio Nava | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Emilio Nava | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…edc2backed Emilio Nava | 4c | 494.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Emilio Nava | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Emilio Nava | 20c | 424.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Emilio Nava | 24c | 423.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Emilio Nava | 16c | 418.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Arthur Fils | 77c | 384.23$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Emilio Nava | 14c | 370.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Emilio Nava | 7c | 349.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Emilio Nava | 14c | 338.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 314 | 63.1%198 W · 116 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da5…8b2ebacked Arthur Fils | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Emilio Nava | 16c | 297.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 108 | 16.7%18 W · 90 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Emilio Nava | 15c | 294.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Emilio Nava | 14c | 292.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Emilio Nava | 12c | 282.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Emilio Nava | 20c | 271$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660b…9852backed Emilio Nava | 23c | 270.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Arthur Fils | 77c | 269.35$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Emilio Nava | 13c | 266.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Emilio Nava | 6c | 254.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Emilio Nava | 6c | 250.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Emilio Nava | 12c | 245.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Emilio Nava | 12c | 243.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Emilio Nava | 15c | 237.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked Emilio Nava | 14c | 229$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Emilio Nava | 22c | 217.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 114 | 26.3%30 W · 84 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Emilio Nava | 22c | 216.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked Emilio Nava | 22c | 216.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Emilio Nava | 21c | 216.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Emilio Navathis page
- Fils vs. Nava: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Fils vs. Nava: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Fils vs NavaFils won
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Nava (+1.5)Fils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.