TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b2c…2151

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
434
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: World Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT38911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 389 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova Men: Tristan McCormick vs Philip Henningbacked Tristan McCormick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
ITF Landisville: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Madison Siegbacked Madison Sieg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
ITF Chacabuco: Maria Florencia Urrutia vs Camila Roderobacked Camila Rodero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
ITF Fano: Carl Emil Overbeck vs Leonardo Primuccibacked Leonardo Primucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
ITF Chacabuco: Lourdes Ayala vs Daria Egorovabacked Lourdes Ayala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
ITF Landisville: Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Ekaterina Ovcharenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Sofia Meabebacked Sofia Meabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
ITF Chacabuco: Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllaubacked Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oscar Brownbacked Oscar Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
ITF Ourense: Greet Minnen vs Isabella Shinikovabacked Isabella Shinikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$136.5
ITF Astana: Alibek Kachmazov vs Maan Kesharwanibacked Maan Kesharwani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+965.6%+$117.8
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas vs Charlotte Van Zonneveldbacked Charlotte Van Zonneveld · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
ITF Tianjin: Matthew Dellavedova vs Suk Annbacked Suk Ann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
ITF Astana: Anna Sedysheva vs Su Jeong Jangbacked Anna Sedysheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
ITF Tianjin: Hanlei Lu vs Isaac Becroftbacked Hanlei Lu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhangbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
National Bank Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Iga Swiatekbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
ITF Tauste: Andrea Colombo vs Alejo Sanchez Quilezbacked Andrea Colombo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
ITF Astana: Akanksha Nitture vs Edda Mamedovabacked Akanksha Nitture · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
ITF Curtea de Arges: Gabriel Ghetu vs Vito Dell'elbabacked Vito Dell'elba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
ITF Ourense: Greet Minnen vs Carmen Gallardo Guevarabacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
ITF Leipzig: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Tina Manescubacked Tina Manescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Mirjana Jovanovic vs Denislava Glushkovabacked Mirjana Jovanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
ITF Eupen: Theo Papamalamis vs Ferdinand Kloestersbacked Ferdinand Kloesters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Showing 25 of 389 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT200%0 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.35
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.5
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.3
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.8
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.86
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.62
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.18
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.33
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.69
Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.54
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.05
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.21
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.14
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.94
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.34
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.6
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick5cpaid+63.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick6cpaid+107.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.