Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tianjin: Hanlei Lu vs Isaac Becroft
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7821061da8b46c2a8ea1013cfea220a624472f34cfe9690182a137c2b4b4e1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isaac Becroftof Hanlei Lu, Isaac Becroft
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hanlei Lu | 25c | 7,874$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.32 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Isaac Becroft | 73c | 2,485$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.38 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Isaac Becroft | 79c | 1,528$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Isaac Becroft | 74c | 1,352$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.34 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Isaac Becroft | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Isaac Becroft | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 117 | 60.7%71 W · 46 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Hanlei Lu | 9c | 625.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Isaac Becroft | 73c | 538.86$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Hanlei Lu | 14c | 228.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Isaac Becroft | 75c | 177$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Isaac Becroft | 76c | 176.97$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Isaac Becroft | 76c | 158.95$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Isaac Becroft | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hanlei Lu | 23c | 152.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Isaac Becroft | 73c | 149.17$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Hanlei Lu | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Hanlei Lu | 24c | 99.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Hanlei Lu | 19c | 97.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Isaac Becroft | 74c | 79.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Isaac Becroft | 74c | 77.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Isaac Becroft | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Hanlei Lu | 25c | 67.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…4b02backed Isaac Becroft | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Isaac Becroft | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…57adbacked Hanlei Lu | 17c | 60.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Hanlei Lu | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Isaac Becroft | 74c | 53.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Isaac Becroft | 73c | 52.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e7…55a9backed Hanlei Lu | 28c | 52.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Isaac Becroft | 80c | 47.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Isaac Becroft | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Isaac Becroft | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Isaac Becroft | 75c | 40.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Isaac Becroft | 73c | 37.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Isaac Becroft | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Isaac Becroft | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Isaac Becroft | 74c | 30.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Isaac Becroft | 73c | 26.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Isaac Becroft | 73c | 26.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Isaac Becroft | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…fa13backed Isaac Becroft | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Tianjin: Hanlei Lu vs Isaac Becroftthis page
- ITF Men Tianjin: Completed Match: Hanlei Lu vs Isaac BecroftYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.