Tennis · resolved market
ITF Fano: Carl Emil Overbeck vs Leonardo Primucci
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe41d21764fdb3b2b40485d1fa7b71f33a183edf7dbb09ae6fd543ae99b3e8c56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carl Emil Overbeckof Carl Emil Overbeck, Leonardo Primucci
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Leonardo Primucci | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Leonardo Primucci | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 117 | 60.7%71 W · 46 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Leonardo Primucci | 11c | 1,375$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.43 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Leonardo Primucci | 15c | 937.91$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 75c | 603.71$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.54 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Leonardo Primucci | 16c | 581.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7fd6backed Leonardo Primucci | 12c | 544.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Leonardo Primucci | 9c | 529$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Leonardo Primucci | 34c | 247$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Leonardo Primucci | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Leonardo Primucci | 28c | 187.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Leonardo Primucci | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Leonardo Primucci | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Leonardo Primucci | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc43…d09bbacked Leonardo Primucci | 10c | 111.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Leonardo Primucci | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Leonardo Primucci | 12c | 98.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Leonardo Primucci | 28c | 97.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Leonardo Primucci | 15c | 96.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 77c | 92.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Leonardo Primucci | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Leonardo Primucci | 20c | 84.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Leonardo Primucci | 18c | 72.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Leonardo Primucci | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Leonardo Primucci | 26c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Leonardo Primucci | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Leonardo Primucci | 25c | 51.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Leonardo Primucci | 28c | 37.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 78c | 30.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Carl Emil Overbeck | 78c | 25.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 79c | 15.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Carl Emil Overbeck | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 78c | 13.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.