AI · resolved market
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2416ec42d46d41184dcc5a4e72f3522f79591bd3324fefcc35148cde7d91aef5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5d5…6caabacked No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed No | 25c | 11,593$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.25 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 2c | 10,051$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…9612backed No | 16c | 9,278$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.18 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…66edbacked No | 19c | 9,261$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.32 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…089fbacked No | 2c | 8,792$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.43 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 7,342$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 5c | 5,101$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.28 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 10c | 4,086$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.95 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked No | 8c | 3,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.49 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 2,549$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.55 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed No | 1c | 2,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 25c | 2,269$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.93 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 6c | 2,234$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.45 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 70c | 2,152$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…9139backed No | 3c | 2,109$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…ded7backed No | 11c | 2,104$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.42 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 46c | 1,996$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.78 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed No | 8c | 1,947$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.22 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 3c | 1,789$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 18c | 1,757$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.02 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 1,751$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 19c | 1,707$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.25 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 1,574$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed No | 8c | 1,559$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,180$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 1,084$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 17c | 984.91$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 4c | 838.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed No | 3c | 789.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 10c | 673.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7806…ae3fbacked No | 6c | 664.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 5c | 598.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…fa31backed No | 6c | 585.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 17c | 560.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 41c | 553.74$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.27 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 2c | 531.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 4c | 509.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 3c | 433.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ea…6a44backed No | 6c | 409$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 5c | 361.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…312bbacked No | 6c | 357.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Yes | 43c | 348$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 5c | 345$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…b02cbacked No | 6c | 338.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 6c | 331.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…17adbacked No | 4c | 331.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 16c | 319$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 51c | 316.32$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 5c | 310$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 9c | 306.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4352…c794backed No | 11c | 262.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 256.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…5868backed Yes | 38c | 225$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…8730backed Yes | 38c | 225$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…732cbacked Yes | 38c | 225$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 13c | 222.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 12c | 199.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…9434backed Yes | 49c | 184.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed No | 18c | 158.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 11c | 151.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…9f3abacked No | 7c | 148$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 12c | 136.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked No | 19c | 135.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5441…7c4ebacked Yes | 78c | 125.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 11c | 116$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 19c | 108.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 29c | 106.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 70c | 105.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 15c | 101.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 50c | 101$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 24c | 100.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -20.8wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 18c | 97.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…b53dbacked Yes | 57c | 96.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9114…3568backed Yes | 79c | 95.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 17c | 88.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 40c | 87.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 15c | 80.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked No | 40c | 75.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…5f8abacked No | 28c | 43.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e3…ee5dbacked Yes | 75c | 39.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffee…c768backed Yes | 79c | 37.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 30c | 37.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 142 | 81%115 W · 27 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…c573backed Yes | 72c | 33.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…2bdfbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +149.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 50c | 23.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…6fd2backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…58ecbacked Yes | 66c | 16.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…0fe1backed Yes | 75c | 13.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?this page
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.