TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ee9…f7ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
211
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10150.5%51 W · 50 L+10.1wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+885.2%+$233.61
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.39
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.37
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.99
Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.84
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.89
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$250.16
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.73
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$233.75
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+2,394.4%+$969.51
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$32.99
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6041.7%25 W · 35 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+870.9%+$89.7
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+196.6%+$92.8
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$53.2
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+769.6%+$88.5
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+424.7%+$63.28
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.48
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+236.3%+$119.45
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.57
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$31
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+462%+$1,182
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$819Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$818.56
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$13.6
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$22.3
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$88
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.08
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.54
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 25 above $210?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+593.1%+$119.8
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $220-$225 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$215 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.43
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $230-$235 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $205?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.85
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $210?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 6 above $180?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.19
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+109.8%+$50.24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of December 22 above $190?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$46.77
Will Meta reach $650 in Nov 25-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+75%+$64.3
Will Meta dip to $600 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+55.8%+$22.09
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$84.03
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+80.7%+$62.09
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.57
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.73
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+59.6%+$57.86
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+41.3%+$5.85
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.79
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+111.2%+$11.96
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+94.2%+$9.7
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+52%+$20.83
All 18 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Nigma Galaxy Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+400%+$40
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.