Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x053629187c29981c2b980ccdcc85d68cc02f1cd7ffd49459755bcbbd7412b419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,276,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,220,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,276,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 605 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 126,481$15,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,273.73 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 12c | 121,633$14,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,596 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes | 11c | 50,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.99 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes | 12c | 41,667$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 11c | 30,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…b45cbacked Yes | 12c | 28,571$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.52 | 92 | 18.5%17 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…086bbacked Yes | 14c | 21,139$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed Yes | 12c | 20,982$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.21 | 128 | 10.9%14 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 12c | 20,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes | 14c | 17,432$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9441…98babacked Yes | 12c | 16,667$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 12c | 13,850$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.79 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee5…3d51backed Yes | 12c | 12,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 12c | 12,118$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.93 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…7954backed Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 12c | 9,047$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.09 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 12c | 8,775$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.37 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Yes | 12c | 8,340$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.8 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes | 12c | 8,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Yes | 12c | 8,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…c680backed Yes | 12c | 8,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 183 | 21.3%39 W · 144 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 13c | 8,174$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.69 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…5102backed Yes | 11c | 7,644$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.83 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…073bbacked Yes | 12c | 7,630$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.65 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 12c | 7,555$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.6 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…785fbacked Yes | 12c | 6,642$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.07 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 12c | 6,235$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.15 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Yes | 11c | 6,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…1a91backed Yes | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…0d92backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…ff67backed Yes | 12c | 4,417$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 12c | 4,375$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 12c | 4,352$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.2 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Yes | 12c | 4,184$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.09 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…1762backed Yes | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…5f61backed Yes | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…f039backed Yes | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe51f…473dbacked Yes | 12c | 4,117$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0266backed Yes | 12c | 4,070$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.34 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…6a32backed Yes | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 16c | 3,694$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5d…9a2ebacked Yes | 15c | 3,384$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 12c | 3,354$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 7c | 3,132$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.62 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2825…4362backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…a804backed Yes | 17c | 2,995$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 11c | 2,559$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.53 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,508$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 11c | 2,483$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 204 | 27%55 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 10c | 2,440$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.97 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 12c | 2,418$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.2 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,403$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.77 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 12c | 2,333$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 195 | 29.7%58 W · 137 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,250$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 12c | 2,167$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…37e6backed Yes | 12c | 2,042$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…fababacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…0383backed Yes | 12c | 1,879$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.47 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ff…01d0backed Yes | 12c | 1,750$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2d…bfcbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,725$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd581…83b7backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…486fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,642$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b0…5ab1backed Yes | 12c | 1,581$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.75 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…ba14backed Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5c…9353backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…aecabacked Yes | 15c | 1,400$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…9519backed Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20c6…45aebacked Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b052backed Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 159 | 30.2%48 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…6059backed Yes | 13c | 1,148$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes | 12c | 1,138$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.51 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 11c | 1,106$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.7 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…e04cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Yes | 12c | 1,083$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…671bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,050$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xede0…20a7backed Yes | 12c | 1,042$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Yes | 3c | 1,039$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 137 | 5.1%7 W · 130 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…4ec4backed Yes | 11c | 1,036$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 12c | 1,013$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…8de4backed Yes | 13c | 1,008$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 200 | 13.5%27 W · 173 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 190 | 62.6%119 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…1ba0backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb51…388dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…038cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Yes | 11c | 999.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?Yes won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.