TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,276,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,220,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,276,112 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 605 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes12c126,481$15,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,273.738,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes12c121,633$14,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,59612210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes11c50,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.9922348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes12c41,667$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes11c30,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.9919332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes12c28,571$3,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,428.529218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d84…086bbacked Yes14c21,139$2,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,982.21650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes12c20,982$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.2112810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Yes12c20,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40013118.3%24 W · 107 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes14c17,432$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007727.3%21 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9441…98babacked Yes12c16,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003520%7 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes12c13,850$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.7929916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeee5…3d51backed Yes12c12,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes12c12,118$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.932,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d12…7954backed Yes12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes12c9,047$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.0977433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes12c8,775$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.3778835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Yes12c8,340$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.88752.9%46 W · 41 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes12c8,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007729.9%23 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes12c8,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes12c8,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes13c8,174$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.6975729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…5102backed Yes11c7,644$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.834242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca2…073bbacked Yes12c7,630$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.657429.7%22 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes12c7,555$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.624526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a3…785fbacked Yes12c6,642$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.0720049.5%99 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes12c6,235$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.1525124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Yes11c6,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66026445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x673d…1a91backed Yes12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55015226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Yes12c4,417$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5307448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes12c4,375$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52511914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes12c4,352$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.256022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Yes12c4,184$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.0914829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b49…1762backed Yes12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007220.8%15 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e3a…5f61backed Yes12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1da7…f039backed Yes12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe51f…473dbacked Yes12c4,117$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4942142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817a…0266backed Yes12c4,070$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.342910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc990…6a32backed Yes12c4,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480234.3%1 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-76.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes11c4,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44041429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes11c4,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44035514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes16c3,694$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59133915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5d…9a2ebacked Yes15c3,384$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Yes12c3,354$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011826.3%31 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes7c3,132$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.6233843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2825…4362backed Yes12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36018027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd10…a804backed Yes17c2,995$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes11c2,559$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.531,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes12c2,508$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes11c2,500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9918929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes11c2,483$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9920427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes10c2,440$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.973,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes12c2,418$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.26729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes10c2,403$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.772,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes12c2,333$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes12c2,250$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes12c2,167$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfc2…37e6backed Yes12c2,042$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2456516.9%11 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1de4…fababacked Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407821.8%17 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…0383backed Yes12c1,879$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.47175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-89.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1ff…01d0backed Yes12c1,750$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109139.6%36 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d2d…bfcbbacked Yes12c1,725$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2079437.2%35 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012715%19 W · 108 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd581…83b7backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003321.2%7 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa747…486fbacked Yes12c1,642$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-60.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b0…5ab1backed Yes12c1,581$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.75378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443a…ba14backed Yes14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106214.5%9 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f5c…9353backed Yes12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18016540.6%67 W · 98 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16535229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6310…aecabacked Yes15c1,400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80c0…9519backed Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505420.4%11 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20c6…45aebacked Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012736.2%46 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b052backed Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015930.2%48 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508052.5%42 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa16a…6059backed Yes13c1,148$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1534320.9%9 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes12c1,138$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.51633.2%2 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick10cpaid-77.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes11c1,106$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.72,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76f…e04cbacked Yes1c1,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-32.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes12c1,083$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13012334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0943…671bbacked Yes12c1,050$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-69.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xede0…20a7backed Yes12c1,042$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125466.5%3 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid+42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Yes3c1,039$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.781375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd138…4ec4backed Yes11c1,036$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes12c1,013$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.91,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes13c1,008$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13120013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12018644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ca…7229backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd00f…1ba0backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb51…388dbacked Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207319.2%14 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3414…038cbacked Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120160%0 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…efcebacked Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes11c999.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102317.4%4 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f10…c927backed Yes11c999.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104022.5%9 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.