TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,079,781
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,913,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,079,781 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 830 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes11c222,192$24,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,469.998,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes11c132,691$14,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,59612210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes12c125,979$15,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,546.962,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes11c120,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,20056410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes15c106,771$15,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,483.4211421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes11c63,295$6,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,962.4725124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e8c…6323backed Yes12c59,853$7,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,182.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a3f…0de6backed Yes0c47,000$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes11c45,455$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00013639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes12c41,667$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes11c33,550$3,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,690.51567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes11c28,571$3,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,142.819218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes12c27,592$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,180.0929916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9441…98babacked Yes11c20,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2003520%7 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes12c17,555$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.624526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes15c17,037$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007727.3%21 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c55…7cd0backed Yes15c10,812$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.37540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes12c10,460$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.2319332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd7…8772backed Yes11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1005518.2%10 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d12…7954backed Yes11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1004829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b2…be32backed Yes11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002119%4 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes11c9,545$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes10c9,532$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.1738817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a00…159dbacked Yes12c9,167$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002462.5%15 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes11c9,091$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Yes12c8,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes11c8,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86012810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes12c7,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Yes11c7,152$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes18c6,850$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.661,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes12c6,717$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.2475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a3…785fbacked Yes12c6,642$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.0720049.5%99 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Yes2c6,194$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8110014%14 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+445.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Yes11c6,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66026445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a2c…100cbacked Yes2c5,500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90287.1%2 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Yes2c5,500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b22…f295backed Yes11c5,455$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003315.2%5 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Yes12c4,915$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.397448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes14c4,641$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.594,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fce…a7c8backed Yes12c4,100$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.957032.9%23 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817a…0266backed Yes11c4,091$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Yes11c4,091$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes11c4,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9678317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes12c3,909$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes11c3,682$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.3756022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes12c3,350$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40233235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…5102backed Yes18c3,333$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33018027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36015226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Yes11c2,923$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.526835.4%95 W · 173 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes11c2,738$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.9447321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9e0…47d7backed Yes11c2,691$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2964438.6%17 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes11c2,600$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2868716.1%14 W · 73 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes11c2,600$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28618929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc17e…d497backed Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003839.5%15 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+98.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x94bd…9f69backed Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick16cpaid+196.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes11c2,273$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0458…92e9backed Yes11c2,246$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.041442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes12c2,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x324b…084ebacked Yes12c2,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x517b…50b7backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+79.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24013118.3%24 W · 107 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48bf…990ebacked Yes11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202020%4 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes12c1,831$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.820725.6%53 W · 154 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012715%19 W · 108 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes11c1,780$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.86729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes11c1,773$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0338817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes11c1,750$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.527811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68b7…0812backed Yes3c1,700$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584922.4%11 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.18per pick4cpaid+703%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Yes3c1,700$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589910.1%10 W · 89 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+194.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes12c1,675$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20112712.6%16 W · 111 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f21…805ebacked Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008023.8%19 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013223.5%31 W · 101 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc67…f528backed Yes11c1,609$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1773119.4%6 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a6d…33e2backed Yes3c1,600$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48333%1 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b0…5ab1backed Yes12c1,581$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.74378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes11c1,545$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17033123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3f…100cbacked Yes19c1,522$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.595817.2%10 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Yes3c1,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45641.6%1 W · 63 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18031920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f5c…9353backed Yes11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16516540.6%67 W · 98 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes11c1,460$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8220427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c6…45aebacked Yes11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012736.2%46 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b052backed Yes11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015930.2%48 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508052.5%42 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes11c1,347$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1724028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes12c1,346$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5619125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3cf…9dc0backed Yes11c1,339$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3312042.5%51 W · 69 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92fb…a7debacked Yes12c1,336$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.362138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+62.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc93…718bbacked Yes3c1,309$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.28458.9%4 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+214.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5de5…2bc0backed Yes11c1,273$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405612.5%7 W · 49 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-58.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80c0…9519backed Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505420.4%11 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43c3…814bbacked Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504214.3%6 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec5…9fe0backed Yes11c1,182$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1308727.6%24 W · 63 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0571…c5ccbacked Yes11c1,182$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307655.3%42 W · 34 L+12.2wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+68.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes12c1,167$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020427.5%56 W · 148 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.