Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x076e5c3c8c4278bc33f21943db753367009af836f401c8baebfa99b8a7c1652c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,079,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,913,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,079,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 830 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 222,192$24,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,469.99 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 11c | 132,691$14,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,596 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 12c | 125,979$15,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,546.96 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 11c | 120,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes | 15c | 106,771$15,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,483.42 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 11c | 63,295$6,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,962.47 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8c…6323backed Yes | 12c | 59,853$7,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,182.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3f…0de6backed Yes | 0c | 47,000$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes | 11c | 45,455$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes | 12c | 41,667$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 11c | 33,550$3,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.5 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…b45cbacked Yes | 11c | 28,571$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.81 | 92 | 18.5%17 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 12c | 27,592$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.09 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9441…98babacked Yes | 11c | 20,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 12c | 17,555$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.6 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes | 15c | 17,037$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…7cd0backed Yes | 15c | 10,812$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 12c | 10,460$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.23 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…8772backed Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…7954backed Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…be32backed Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…c680backed Yes | 11c | 9,545$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 183 | 21.3%39 W · 144 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 10c | 9,532$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.17 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a00…159dbacked Yes | 12c | 9,167$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Yes | 11c | 9,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…9a17backed Yes | 12c | 8,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed Yes | 11c | 8,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 128 | 10.9%14 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 12c | 7,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…4aacbacked Yes | 11c | 7,152$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 18c | 6,850$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.66 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 12c | 6,717$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.24 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…785fbacked Yes | 12c | 6,642$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.07 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked Yes | 2c | 6,194$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +445.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Yes | 11c | 6,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…100cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…f295backed Yes | 11c | 5,455$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…ff67backed Yes | 12c | 4,915$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.39 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 4,641$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.59 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…a7c8backed Yes | 12c | 4,100$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.95 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0266backed Yes | 11c | 4,091$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Yes | 11c | 4,091$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.96 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 12c | 3,909$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 195 | 29.7%58 W · 137 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 11c | 3,682$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.37 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 12c | 3,350$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…5102backed Yes | 18c | 3,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…0d92backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Yes | 11c | 2,923$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.5 | 268 | 35.4%95 W · 173 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 11c | 2,738$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.94 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e0…47d7backed Yes | 11c | 2,691$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes | 11c | 2,600$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,600$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…d497backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94bd…9f69backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 16cpaid | +196.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 11c | 2,273$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Yes | 11c | 2,246$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes | 12c | 2,083$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 246 | 20.3%50 W · 196 L | -21.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x324b…084ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,083$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…50b7backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…990ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes | 12c | 1,831$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.8 | 207 | 25.6%53 W · 154 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 11c | 1,780$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,773$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.03 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,750$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…0812backed Yes | 3c | 1,700$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 4cpaid | +703%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Yes | 3c | 1,700$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 99 | 10.1%10 W · 89 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 12c | 1,675$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…805ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc67…f528backed Yes | 11c | 1,609$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6d…33e2backed Yes | 3c | 1,600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b0…5ab1backed Yes | 12c | 1,581$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.74 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 11c | 1,545$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3f…100cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,522$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.59 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5c…9353backed Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,460$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 204 | 27%55 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c6…45aebacked Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b052backed Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 159 | 30.2%48 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 11c | 1,347$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.17 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 12c | 1,346$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.56 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cf…9dc0backed Yes | 11c | 1,339$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.33 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fb…a7debacked Yes | 12c | 1,336$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.36 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,309$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | +214.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de5…2bc0backed Yes | 11c | 1,273$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…9519backed Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20f…6ccebacked Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c3…814bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Yes | 11c | 1,182$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0571…c5ccbacked Yes | 11c | 1,182$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +12.2wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes | 12c | 1,167$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 204 | 27.5%56 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?Yes won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.