Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf54165eb981076733353e4237b3af8faab852709947a62da5b831d241520de4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $955,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $884,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $955,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7583…4df2backed Yes | 6c | 200,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 197,173$15,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,884.09 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed Yes | 13c | 34,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.98 | 128 | 10.9%14 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 6c | 17,220$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.51 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…073bbacked Yes | 14c | 13,066$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.17 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a8…5204backed Yes | 13c | 12,381$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes | 14c | 11,030$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…dc89backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 13.5%12 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 6c | 8,700$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 9c | 8,571$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…8df8backed Yes | 5c | 8,394$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.83 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Yes | 5c | 7,488$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.53 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 6c | 6,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 8c | 5,706$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…789dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,730$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.82 | 195 | 17.9%35 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a00…159dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,167$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2193…e6cabacked Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…6956backed Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa467…9c53backed Yes | 6c | 3,211$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.64 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5564…1b0dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,161$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…9f32backed Yes | 6c | 3,145$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 11c | 2,819$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.43 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2825…f661backed Yes | 5c | 2,400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d0…1a68backed Yes | 6c | 2,333$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b076backed Yes | 14c | 2,199$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…b5f0backed Yes | 9c | 2,138$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 115 | 5.2%6 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,889$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Yes | 5c | 1,883$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 337 | 40.4%136 W · 201 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2df…debabacked Yes | 6c | 1,833$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92fb…a7debacked Yes | 7c | 1,714$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Yes | 6c | 1,685$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…7a73backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…0009backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 32.2%66 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…3d29backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3415…1fb1backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…9fc0backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb67…3a79backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,635$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…1ccdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,620$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 154 | 20.8%32 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Yes | 3c | 1,600$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 65 | 15.4%10 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,590$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…67d4backed Yes | 6c | 1,577$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4962…f509backed Yes | 11c | 1,517$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.33 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…fe41backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…df81backed Yes | 7c | 1,481$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 14c | 1,462$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 7c | 1,446$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0363…1ed9backed Yes | 14c | 1,437$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 5c | 1,402$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…1252backed Yes | 6c | 1,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,325$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 6c | 1,300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…a99abacked Yes | 6c | 1,268$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee9…9bccbacked Yes | 6c | 1,267$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 5c | 1,263$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…c780backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Yes | 13c | 1,193$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.79 | 197 | 37.6%74 W · 123 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 6c | 1,167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed Yes | 6c | 1,167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 116 | 19.8%23 W · 93 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 5c | 1,162$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…3592backed Yes | 6c | 1,148$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…1e09backed Yes | 9c | 1,122$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,083$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 6c | 1,067$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9afe…7b07backed Yes | 6c | 1,048$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…71d2backed Yes | 10c | 1,032$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…50b7backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e7…2c77backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…3493backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…60dfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…f71dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 27.4%46 W · 122 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…0f51backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede0…20a7backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes | 9c | 971$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 10c | 965.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 7c | 934.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006e…7c46backed Yes | 14c | 928.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 6c | 905.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Yes | 11c | 900$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 205 | 11.7%24 W · 181 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 9c | 888.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 7c | 877$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?Yes won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.