TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Belgium?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$991,799
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$979,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $991,799 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes2c143,361$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.498,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa577…91e3backed Yes2c52,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Yes2c42,644$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.327416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes2c40,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68078317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes2c24,336$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.752,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes2c11,167$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes2c10,526$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11cd…71cbbacked Yes2c10,526$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200170%0 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3415…1fb1backed Yes2c10,030$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200557.3%4 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes2c10,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes2c9,050$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2329916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…2365backed Yes2c8,651$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d6e…4018backed Yes2c7,845$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.059114.3%13 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes2c6,506$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201155.2%6 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc76…0738backed Yes2c6,100$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7639.5%6 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+61.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c65…b9eebacked Yes2c5,885$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.813735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes2c5,524$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.92,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976f…ca10backed Yes2c5,502$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.53175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-83.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf06f…11f3backed Yes2c5,308$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006726.9%18 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2df…debabacked Yes2c5,265$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100200%0 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes1c5,192$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.08735.5%4 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+212.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes0c5,120$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.12355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe8…67d4backed Yes2c4,969$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4210230.4%31 W · 71 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Yes2c4,784$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8512117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677d…ffd6backed Yes3c4,185$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.390%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes2c4,000$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6856410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes2c3,729$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8333510.1%34 W · 301 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes2c3,671$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9222216.2%36 W · 186 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes2c3,312$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8172722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes2c3,297$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503016.7%5 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-43%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x47ff…a849backed Yes3c3,239$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes2c3,102$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes3c3,098$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes2c2,941$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028716.4%47 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Yes2c2,941$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011619.8%23 W · 93 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de5…2bc0backed Yes2c2,941$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505612.5%7 W · 49 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-58.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes2c2,940$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9835110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x368f…fd94backed Yes2c2,920$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502030%6 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a1…f99ebacked Yes2c2,888$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-76.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f61…8687backed Yes2c2,844$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013511.1%15 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6e…8f7ebacked Yes2c2,682$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.287710.4%8 W · 69 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf9f4…53c9backed Yes2c2,652$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.08323.1%1 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5626…80f0backed Yes2c2,632$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50621.6%1 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-79.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes2c2,631$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes2c2,555$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.925413%7 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-59.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e86…bb28backed Yes2c2,525$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.92378.1%3 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-78.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8c6…1462backed Yes2c2,353$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031119.3%60 W · 251 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes2c2,347$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5569826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59a5…06c0backed Yes2c2,346$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4090%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes2c2,326$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6745627.9%127 W · 329 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes2c2,315$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451739.2%16 W · 157 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes2c2,258$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xede0…20a7backed Yes2c2,118$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36466.5%3 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid+42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes2c2,109$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7163035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Yes1c2,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116515.4%10 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes2c2,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34581.7%1 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-86.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes2c1,997$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2833729.1%98 W · 239 L+1.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes2c1,817$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8253920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f6d…f161backed Yes2c1,765$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305311.3%6 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick11cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664d…babdbacked Yes2c1,740$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304528.9%13 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e0…08eebacked Yes2c1,736$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5126243.1%113 W · 149 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4123…4954backed Yes2c1,687$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012024.2%29 W · 91 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes2c1,667$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024344.4%108 W · 135 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cb…e963backed Yes3c1,625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509414.9%14 W · 80 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-9.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes2c1,471$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2553514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c6…74d4backed Yes2c1,446$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6468.7%4 W · 42 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddb…6b2bbacked Yes2c1,429$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30160%0 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes3c1,413$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.782,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes2c1,389$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes2c1,380$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.541565.8%9 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes4c1,350$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5533235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6594…9a61backed Yes2c1,250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208124.7%20 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc9…616dbacked Yes2c1,216$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256219.4%12 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes2c1,200$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.21124.5%5 W · 107 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes2c1,176$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5406…59cbbacked Yes3c1,143$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e2f…d133backed Yes3c1,137$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8460%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce3b…1256backed Yes2c1,134$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9336…0b9dbacked Yes3c1,114$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2948…c872backed Yes2c1,111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207222.2%16 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae94…af2cbacked Yes2c1,111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018027.2%49 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc3c…3403backed Yes2c1,100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.75416.7%9 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+45%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0a1…3b09backed Yes1c1,100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9449.1%4 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick6cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes2c1,074$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017115.2%26 W · 145 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…3493backed Yes2c1,066$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206015%9 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ad…294bbacked Yes2c1,059$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811225%28 W · 84 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2264…7341backed Yes2c1,053$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205724.6%14 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes2c1,053$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b0…1a94backed Yes2c1,053$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019324.4%47 W · 146 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32fb…1ca4backed Yes2c1,053$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209612.5%12 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes4c1,038$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1438329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7862…ab53backed Yes1c1,034$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf786…25fbbacked Yes2c1,031$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5516526.1%43 W · 122 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Yes2c1,003$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201266.3%8 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a98…f9d9backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202817.9%5 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x757e…6293backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209632.3%31 W · 65 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+39.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes2c999.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179727.8%27 W · 70 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+81.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9bcb…8626backed Yes2c985.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201035.8%6 W · 97 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Yes2c956.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d13…d163backed Yes2c941.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16618.2%5 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-85%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.