TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,011,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$872,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,011,563 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes4c186,395$7,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,521.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes4c66,874$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,369.8178317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes4c40,658$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes4c34,939$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.352,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes6c14,040$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80014727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes8c13,163$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02625124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes4c13,000$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46941429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes4c11,813$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.2529017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes4c10,878$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.4856410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes2c10,854$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.424,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes3c9,383$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.831,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes4c8,223$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.2675729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes4c8,185$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes1c8,032$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.27735.5%4 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+212.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes4c6,979$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.1120427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes4c6,653$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.1751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes8c6,544$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.452187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes3c6,509$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.7972722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffe…86b5backed Yes8c6,494$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002540%10 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes4c6,135$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8627520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf3…969cbacked Yes4c5,590$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-80.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes4c5,405$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes3c5,288$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7935229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes2c5,111$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.642,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb616…b9a1backed Yes4c4,800$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.111910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-75.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes4c4,556$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0238817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes4c4,200$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14718929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes4c4,167$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd1…e502backed Yes4c4,058$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505617.9%10 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+113.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes3c4,011$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3219020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes3c3,983$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.556022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Yes8c3,898$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.4225328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes3c3,640$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.182,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes4c3,537$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8429916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb67…3a79backed Yes3c3,536$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes3c3,362$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001739.2%16 W · 157 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes4c3,333$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201155.2%6 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes8c3,205$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3068…60dfbacked Yes4c2,827$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100258%2 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes4c2,778$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002516%4 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-68.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Yes4c2,704$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.052714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x268b…4890backed Yes4c2,703$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100424.8%2 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200e…33f2backed Yes4c2,703$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006013.3%8 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes7c2,633$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7966932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes5c2,607$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3727034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Yes4c2,570$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3711717.1%20 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e58…cb43backed Yes4c2,554$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes4c2,525$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f4a…1ae0backed Yes6c2,450$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.764020%8 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-66.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes4c2,420$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0469826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed Yes5c2,285$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.415746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes4c2,114$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9924028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes4c2,081$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1853920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28b5…a5e8backed Yes4c2,000$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742317.4%4 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes4c2,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Yes4c1,944$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011619.8%23 W · 93 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes4c1,872$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.412715%19 W · 108 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb1…805cbacked Yes5c1,851$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012313.8%17 W · 106 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes4c1,833$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes4c1,683$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes5c1,600$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1120511.7%24 W · 181 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes7c1,600$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.427811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes4c1,599$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ca…a6ecbacked Yes8c1,561$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130588.6%5 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa52e…48febacked Yes4c1,541$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.49619.8%6 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Yes3c1,429$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Yes4c1,400$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496734.3%23 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90bf…3348backed Yes4c1,389$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50567.1%4 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de5…2bc0backed Yes4c1,389$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505612.5%7 W · 49 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-58.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43a8…63efbacked Yes4c1,389$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509817.3%17 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick17cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2df…debabacked Yes4c1,389$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50200%0 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05fe…358bbacked Yes4c1,389$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6111520%23 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes4c1,371$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4587938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f61…8687backed Yes4c1,351$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013511.1%15 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5626…80f0backed Yes4c1,351$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50621.6%1 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-79.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1c…f4b1backed Yes3c1,350$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.24896.7%6 W · 83 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes4c1,340$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012712.6%16 W · 111 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes4c1,313$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.251565.8%9 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf61d…caddbacked Yes4c1,313$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2512927.9%36 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ef…b24bbacked Yes8c1,303$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022731.3%71 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc4…23abbacked Yes4c1,300$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.85728.1%16 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes4c1,227$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1798439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xede0…20a7backed Yes3c1,176$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40466.5%3 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid+42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Yes4c1,127$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c6…1462backed Yes4c1,117$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031119.3%60 W · 251 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b6e…8f7ebacked Yes4c1,111$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407710.4%8 W · 69 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdeec…99c8backed Yes4c1,111$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011619%22 W · 94 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc3c…3403backed Yes4c1,100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.55416.7%9 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+45%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59a5…06c0backed Yes4c1,081$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4090%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x134f…e191backed Yes4c1,081$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-68.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68f3…6753backed Yes4c1,056$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382825%7 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+148%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x801f…24a6backed Yes7c1,035$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4917115.2%26 W · 145 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf786…25fbbacked Yes3c1,031$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5716526.1%43 W · 122 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa761…cc81backed Yes7c1,013$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.781329.8%13 W · 119 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes8c1,008$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78997.1%7 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes4c1,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36581.7%1 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-86.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x606e…ce83backed Yes8c1,000$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.053212.5%4 W · 28 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+62.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ea…449cbacked Yes3c999.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6339.1%3 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Yes4c999.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d30…09bfbacked Yes5c991.46$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.