TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$260,659
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$239,050

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,659 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c33,487$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.098,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x673d…1a91backed Yes5c10,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes5c10,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes6c6,330$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.818027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x974e…b5f0backed Yes6c6,167$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504436.4%16 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3f…100cbacked Yes5c6,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005817.2%10 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes5c4,320$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21633915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a7d…d997backed Yes7c4,131$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009737.1%36 W · 61 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78e7…2c77backed Yes5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes6c3,583$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21511914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes6c3,229$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200515.9%3 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes5c2,855$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1829916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009111%10 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…446bbacked Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick6cpaid+131.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a03…a455backed Yes5c1,995$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.747038.6%27 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664b…0383backed Yes6c1,833$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-89.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62ed…ed4dbacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100506%3 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-64.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e46…81aebacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x642a…bed4backed Yes7c1,526$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes1c1,346$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2375335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes6c1,333$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019411.9%23 W · 171 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes6c1,250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75633.2%2 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick10cpaid-77.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x257a…b42abacked Yes5c1,200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016524.2%40 W · 125 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc67c…5047backed Yes6c1,167$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012529.6%37 W · 88 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes6c1,028$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.771,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f10…c927backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504022.5%9 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd436…16d1backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506439.1%25 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…8d77backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503716.2%6 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bd1…0a97backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505217.3%9 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid+91.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3250…c232backed Yes5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa747…486fbacked Yes5c985$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.25219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-60.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdedb…f657backed Yes5c978.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.94166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd0…c562backed Yes6c850$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517328.8%21 W · 52 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Yes5c833.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6738948.8%190 W · 199 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa16a…6059backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504320.9%9 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028716.4%47 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea0…577dbacked Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012611.9%15 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06df…4e7abacked Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502152.4%11 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.24per pick29cpaid+114.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa1a0…2746backed Yes6c800$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4819739.6%78 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes4c793.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7236423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes6c789.87$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4975729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26cf…19aabacked Yes5c700$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3590%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes5c696$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.411,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes6c666.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020819.7%41 W · 167 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ee…e85dbacked Yes6c620$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.219120.9%40 W · 151 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…9716backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306536.9%24 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef20…2969backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308538.8%33 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc43f…ff3fbacked Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305123.5%12 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xede0…20a7backed Yes6c583.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35466.5%3 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid+42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Yes4c572.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8837350.1%187 W · 186 L+45.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x3a15…0350backed Yes6c552.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.162532%8 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8678…5efabacked Yes6c533.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530011.3%34 W · 266 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017115.2%26 W · 145 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x334e…26d8backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes5c499.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.991,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf4…f4c3backed Yes6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515125.2%38 W · 113 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32fb…1ca4backed Yes6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259612.5%12 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Yes6c413$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7819038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes6c401.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8653920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209926.3%26 W · 73 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6563…9fc3backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204221.4%9 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0448…6cebbacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015217.1%26 W · 126 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2264…7341backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205724.6%14 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7d5…559ebacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011925.2%30 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x813a…0637backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205518.2%10 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick12cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf958…31b3backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206221%13 W · 49 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick14cpaid+120.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7716…0a53backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202524%6 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes4c398.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5371939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6227…22b8backed Yes6c393.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.59911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x370c…6929backed Yes6c366.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2215923.3%37 W · 122 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a2…7024backed Yes6c350$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2190%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…cf2dbacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207455.4%41 W · 33 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4123…4954backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012024.2%29 W · 91 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2066932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd36c…e7babacked Yes5c331$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.55667.6%5 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes7c328.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233511.4%4 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fac…8fd7backed Yes6c315.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.926033.3%20 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+46%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7556…8ed8backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154537.8%17 W · 28 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1da1…da25backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7708…8ba0backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2208…53eebacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32f9…9158backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3db6…c21ebacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153116.1%5 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74c7…e046backed Yes6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-52.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bf…805cbacked Yes6c266.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515425.3%39 W · 115 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2b…31d0backed Yes5c260$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-58.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed57…8b81backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc7…4e28backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157529.3%22 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x535f…a83bbacked Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510523.8%25 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…9c10backed Yes5c250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54810.4%5 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab0…c21ebacked Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159217.4%16 W · 76 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick22cpaid+15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7098…da1dbacked Yes5c246.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32287.1%2 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04d3…70d8backed Yes5c240$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12248.3%2 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes5c235.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7656022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a1…9093backed Yes6c220$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.24017.5%7 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb4…6fd6backed Yes6c216.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138610.5%9 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.