TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a33…2534

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
412
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 59 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,603Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,603.37
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$3,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,533.93
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,831Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,831.05
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+221.5%+$114.5
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$390
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$39.53
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$144
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$295.98
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$183.95
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$378
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$241.91
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$335.99
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+106.9%+$1,550
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$392
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$195.6
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$275
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$146.9
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$684
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT8156.8%46 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,180
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$231.47
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.43
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$748
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+157.1%+$1,000.8
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$527.99
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$630
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$403.2
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$230
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$352.5
Orioles vs. Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$614.97
Braves vs. Redsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,275Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$1,225
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Red Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+94.8%+$729.98
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$755.98
Dodgers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$1,020
Cubs vs. White Soxbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$585
Guardians vs. Royalsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$528
Athletics vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$333.23
Cubs vs. White Soxbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$34.93
Mets vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$277.57
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.9
Dodgers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST7436.5%27 W · 47 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$127.5
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$640
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,021Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+67.7%+$2,044.24
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$524.03
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$390
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$410
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$258
Spread: Packers (-2.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$595.97
Spread: Chargers (-1.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$490
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$251.52
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$340
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$510
Spread: Rams (-5.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$392
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$430.36
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+100%+$750
1H Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$204
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+72.4%+$163.8
Spread: Patriots (-11.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$435.5
Spread: Patriots (-13.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$400.37
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$600
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT5556.4%31 W · 24 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,533.66
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,233Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+352.1%+$4,340.8
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big Ten conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$348.48
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,302.38
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,825Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$4,510.89
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$224
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$206.18
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$229.88
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$371
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$439.99
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250.1
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-3.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$424
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$242
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-2.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.09
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.95
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.69
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$130.98
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.39
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.26
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.68
Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$306
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$415.99
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,035.4
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Michael Olise: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Harry Kane: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$569.98
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.88
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$447
Argentina to score first vs. England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$307.5
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.47
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.49
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.8
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.5
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,023.74
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+101%+$854.25
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+365.9%+$235.61
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$780
Spread: Indiana (-6.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$301
Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$600
Ohio State vs. Indiana: 1H Moneylinebacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$410
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$148
Spread: Michigan State (-3.5)backed Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+96.1%+$102
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$312
Michigan State vs. Minnesotabacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Spread: Indiana (-26.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$980
Spread: Michigan State (-7.5)backed UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+100%+$48.82
Spread: Arizona (-20.5)backed Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$322
Florida Atlantic vs. Florida Internationalbacked Florida Atlantic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$172
Florida vs. LSUbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$405
North Carolina State vs. Wake Forestbacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$252
Boston College vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+153.6%+$1,148.75
Spread: Michigan State (-3.5)backed Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$735
Michigan vs. Oklahomabacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$370
Spread: West Virginia (-3.5)backed Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+100%+$285
Illinois vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$264
Iowa vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+133.1%+$1,547.59
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$363.05
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+111%+$949.71
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$480
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$459
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+93.7%+$1,062.14
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$215
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$207
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$175
Wild vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$138
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$208
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$639.99
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$195
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,509.99
Noche UFC: Aguilar vs. Gurulebacked Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$479.4
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralhobacked Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$159
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Delijabacked Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$274.99
UFC Fight Night: Patterson vs. Waters backed Patterson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$370
UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen backed Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$370
UFC 318: Gautier vs. Valentinbacked Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 9 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dream vs Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$228
Valkyries vs Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$115
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+100%+$700
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.14
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$432
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.