NFL · resolved market
Spread: Lions (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c84d4e9d9f2a6971e1bba45295b3a920bb801a45a921ebcd561a99446f88537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Lions, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $814,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $810,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $814,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lions | 56c | 357,441$200,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,821.53 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Vikings | 44c | 240,000$105,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,399.95 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lions | 56c | 202,330$113,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,752.69 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Vikings | 43c | 102,562$44,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,204.19 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Vikings | 44c | 86,540$38,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,462.43 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Lions | 57c | 57,650$32,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,860.4 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vikings | 43c | 43,177$18,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,778.58 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Lions | 58c | 34,483$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vikings | 43c | 30,094$13,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,009.27 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vikings | 43c | 29,500$12,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,669.99 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Vikings | 43c | 26,975$11,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,445.31 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Vikings | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Vikings | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,199.99 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Vikings | 42c | 17,324$7,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,047.7 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Lions | 57c | 16,851$9,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,547.51 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Vikings | 43c | 13,023$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,422.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Lions | 58c | 11,111$6,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,401.7 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vikings | 44c | 10,786$4,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,996.57 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lions | 51c | 10,432$5,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,309.79 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Vikings | 45c | 10,400$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,720 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Vikings | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Vikings | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Lions | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.73 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Lions | 57c | 6,755$3,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,831.66 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Lions | 45c | 6,677$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lions | 57c | 6,263$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.65 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Vikings | 44c | 5,919$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.19 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Vikings | 43c | 5,786$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,292.11 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Vikings | 43c | 5,534$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.8 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Lions | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Vikings | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Vikings | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vikings | 43c | 4,679$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.76 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Vikings | 43c | 4,070$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.77 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Vikings | 42c | 3,235$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.6 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Lions | 56c | 2,766$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.22 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lions | 40c | 2,676$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.5 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Lions | 56c | 2,673$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Lions | 56c | 2,355$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.8 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Lions | 54c | 2,259$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.93 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed Lions | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Vikings | 43c | 1,995$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.23 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vikings | 40c | 1,439$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.47 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa511…18a3backed Lions | 58c | 1,300$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…c7c3backed Lions | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lions | 55c | 1,245$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.75 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…3a91backed Lions | 43c | 1,237$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.72 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lions | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Lions | 56c | 1,139$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…531bbacked Lions | 59c | 1,057$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Lions | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Vikings | 48c | 1,039$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Vikings | 44c | 1,037$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.62 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Lions | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Lions | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Lions | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Vikings | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Vikings | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Vikings | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Vikings | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lions | 56c | 900$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Lions | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lions | 50c | 878.9$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.89 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Lions | 56c | 813.95$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.81 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Vikings | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Lions | 50c | 766$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.12 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Lions | 58c | 750$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Lions | 57c | 701.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…995fbacked Lions | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Vikings | 55c | 700$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lions | 36c | 678.97$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.43 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Lions | 54c | 668.52$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…b176backed Lions | 56c | 662.25$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…c6dabacked Lions | 55c | 638.16$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Lions | 40c | 633$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Lions | 57c | 622.81$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…55f7backed Lions | 56c | 602.05$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Vikings | 43c | 591.07$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.91 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…61d7backed Lions | 45c | 578.16$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Vikings | 42c | 572.85$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.25 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd65…fcfabacked Lions | 14c | 552.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Lions | 48c | 524$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.52 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…8d5cbacked Lions | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc034…3ff7backed Lions | 57c | 514.45$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Lions | 57c | 508.4$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Vikings | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Vikings | 44c | 490.6$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.59 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Vikings | 54c | 475.49$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.18 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Lions | 58c | 439.66$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe5…2b7cbacked Lions | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Vikings | 58c | 428.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.28 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Lions | 46c | 426.2$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0be…e6c2backed Vikings | 53c | 418.3$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…794fbacked Lions | 52c | 416.64$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Lions | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Lions | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Vikings | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133e…5058backed Lions | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…6df7backed Lions | 47c | 397.88$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Vikings | 51c | 378.16$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lions (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lions (-3.5)Vikings won
- 1H Spread: Lions (-4.5)Vikings won
- Lions Team Total: O/U 15.5Under won
- Lions vs. VikingsVikings won
- Lions vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 43.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 46.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Lions (-2.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Lions (-5.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Lions (-7.5)Vikings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.