NFL · resolved market
Lions vs. Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb00dcbf2f2cee0af2aa925570566a05abec4870bc6eee7bd14ff7c25eb541459
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Lions, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,201,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,352,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,201,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Lions | 73c | 630,880$460,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460,625.94 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Vikings | 23c | 357,013$82,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274,900.36 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bc…af98backed Lions | 76c | 332,708$252,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252,858.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Vikings | 34c | 272,080$92,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179,126.96 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Vikings | 36c | 167,598$60,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,536.65 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Vikings | 23c | 125,000$28,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,249.87 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Vikings | 24c | 115,000$27,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,400 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…357dbacked Lions | 63c | 107,479$67,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,658.01 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Vikings | 24c | 103,968$24,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,015.41 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vikings | 37c | 100,021$36,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,225.55 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lions | 63c | 82,678$52,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,399.62 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Lions | 75c | 70,000$52,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,553.69 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…9720backed Vikings | 25c | 62,984$15,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,238.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Lions | 75c | 62,281$46,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,471.42 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Lions | 6c | 60,665$3,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,833.23 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Vikings | 23c | 57,055$13,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,932.67 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Lions | 61c | 57,031$34,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,993.14 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Vikings | 24c | 47,003$11,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,722.26 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lions | 6c | 46,664$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.76 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lions | 22c | 45,575$10,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,138.02 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Vikings | 75c | 43,523$32,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,746.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Vikings | 25c | 40,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000.27 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lions | 75c | 40,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Vikings | 36c | 40,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,599.97 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Lions | 75c | 38,765$29,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,073.65 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Lions | 73c | 33,669$24,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,503.98 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Vikings | 75c | 33,654$25,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,502.47 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Vikings | 24c | 33,519$8,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,388.67 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Lions | 29c | 29,656$8,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,546.91 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Lions | 72c | 28,039$20,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,180.65 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Vikings | 49c | 26,615$13,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,550.01 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lions | 43c | 26,457$11,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,373.84 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vikings | 41c | 24,293$9,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,366.2 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lions | 23c | 21,962$4,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,974.38 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Lions | 75c | 20,540$15,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,404.72 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lions | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,599.99 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Vikings | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,199.98 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Lions | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,599.93 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Vikings | 23c | 17,882$4,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,769.11 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Vikings | 25c | 17,579$4,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,184.54 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Lions | 61c | 16,673$10,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,092.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Lions | 62c | 16,129$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…1ec1backed Lions | 77c | 15,584$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd0…103abacked Lions | 63c | 15,106$9,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,542.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Lions | 77c | 14,988$11,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,597.42 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Lions | 77c | 14,286$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Vikings | 24c | 14,195$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,796.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Vikings | 32c | 13,475$4,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,182.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked Lions | 80c | 13,434$10,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,747.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Vikings | 43c | 11,516$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,515.19 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vikings | 37c | 11,034$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,974.12 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lions | 75c | 10,753$8,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,088.04 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Lions | 76c | 10,300$7,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,828 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked Vikings | 19c | 10,295$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,295.46 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Vikings | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Vikings | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.97 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Lions | 75c | 9,998$7,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,498.25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lions | 67c | 9,676$6,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,484.98 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Vikings | 41c | 9,244$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,493.67 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Lions | 75c | 9,000$6,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,770 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Vikings | 52c | 8,794$4,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.77 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lions | 43c | 8,619$3,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,727.45 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Vikings | 29c | 8,555$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,072.12 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Vikings | 41c | 8,464$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,963.54 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Lions | 76c | 8,321$6,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,344.99 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…5875backed Lions | 65c | 8,125$5,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,281.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lions | 47c | 8,112$3,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.2 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Lions | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lions | 73c | 7,833$5,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720.8 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Lions | 72c | 7,595$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500.22 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Lions | 63c | 7,500$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,729.84 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…bd0dbacked Lions | 76c | 7,400$5,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,624 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…46f4backed Vikings | 24c | 7,318$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,561.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Lions | 76c | 7,309$5,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Lions | 36c | 7,086$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lions | 76c | 6,928$5,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,254.36 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Vikings | 25c | 6,669$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,018.48 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Lions | 76c | 6,579$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Lions | 43c | 6,568$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,847.56 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…1905backed Lions | 76c | 6,500$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,939.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…1b61backed Vikings | 25c | 6,322$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Vikings | 24c | 6,300$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,784 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Vikings | 32c | 6,250$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Lions | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9445…3b31backed Lions | 76c | 5,797$4,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Lions | 62c | 5,688$3,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.62 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Lions | 76c | 5,658$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Lions | 54c | 5,602$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vikings | 32c | 5,246$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,567.27 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Vikings | 24c | 5,100$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,876 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Lions | 64c | 5,000$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Lions | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Vikings | 23c | 4,929$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,795.26 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Vikings | 22c | 4,775$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,723.07 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Vikings | 59c | 4,750$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Vikings | 75c | 4,700$3,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Vikings | 34c | 4,600$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8da…f944backed Vikings | 24c | 4,554$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.04 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Lions | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…2d39backed Lions | 76c | 4,250$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lions vs. Vikingsthis page
- 1H Spread: Lions (-3.5)Vikings won
- 1H Spread: Lions (-4.5)Vikings won
- Lions Team Total: O/U 15.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 43.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 46.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Lions (-2.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Lions (-5.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Lions (-6.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Lions (-7.5)Vikings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.