TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbbd0…103a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
13
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 51 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,977.87
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$286.8
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,854Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.3%+$1,476.45
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,783Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,783.19
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$9,543Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$9,542.72
Jets vs. Jaguars: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+122.2%+$1,351.74
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+52.2%+$510.05
Buffalo Bulls vs. East Carolina Piratesbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$2,085.3
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,313Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$646.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$290
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$149.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.