NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Bucks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb2d9749e46835cd13476a8501ac9190202d10be47842f6ad21c754677da5cf4

Rebuilt 50 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Nuggetsof Nuggets, Bucks
Resolved: Jan 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,181,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,304,088

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,181,202 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Nuggets	28c	292,530$80,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211,913.38	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Nuggets	28c	250,000$70,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179,999.99	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Bucks	73c	237,119$172,578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172,577.8	89	61.8%55 W · 34 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Nuggets	29c	167,427$49,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118,201.62	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets	34c	118,240$40,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77,680.47	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Bucks	72c	112,262$81,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81,059.04	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Bucks	73c	110,413$80,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80,051.29	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks	73c	108,100$78,839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78,838.58	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Bucks	67c	104,458$69,856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69,855.83	104	59.6%62 W · 42 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+23%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Nuggets	27c	101,360$27,367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73,992.78	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets	34c	95,130$31,886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63,244.58	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Bucks	73c	82,438$60,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60,324.19	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Nuggets	33c	77,902$25,708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,194.06	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks	70c	72,671$50,924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,923.84	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nuggets	29c	65,555$19,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,543.95	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Nuggets	28c	56,000$15,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,320	167	52.1%87 W · 80 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks	60c	51,597$30,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,939.36	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Bucks	72c	47,061$33,879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,878.81	352	35.8%126 W · 226 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Bucks	68c	42,011$28,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,407.86	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-4.5wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Bucks	70c	40,000$28,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,999.96	98	57.1%56 W · 42 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks	33c	37,507$12,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,228.72	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Bucks	67c	36,174$24,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,411.62	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Nuggets	27c	34,666$9,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,305.88	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bucks	71c	33,589$23,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,959.92	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Nuggets	33c	32,490$10,785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,705.05	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Nuggets	29c	31,967$9,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,582.85	352	51.1%180 W · 172 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks	69c	31,678$21,911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,911.39	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks	67c	31,524$21,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,162.25	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Bucks	66c	30,000$19,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,799.97	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Bucks	54c	30,000$16,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,199.92	90	43.3%39 W · 51 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks	72c	29,946$21,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,562.88	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Bucks	56c	29,358$16,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,320.31	127	40.9%52 W · 75 L	-15.3wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Bucks	1c	29,106$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.97	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks	71c	28,028$19,907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,906.87	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Bucks	72c	27,290$19,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,546	195	60%117 W · 78 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks	69c	27,021$18,596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,595.92	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Bucks	68c	26,647$18,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,196.93	214	40.7%87 W · 127 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Nuggets	41c	24,516$10,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,349.5	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed Nuggets	30c	22,283$6,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,582.6	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Bucks	1c	20,201$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.02	279	17.9%50 W · 229 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets	34c	20,093$6,808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,284.3	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Nuggets	29c	20,051$5,815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,236.21	232	45.3%105 W · 127 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Bucks	71c	20,000$14,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,199.97	191	50.8%97 W · 94 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Bucks	66c	19,375$12,787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,787.49	146	63.7%93 W · 53 L	+11.6wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Bucks	55c	18,000$9,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,900	443	37.9%168 W · 275 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Bucks	11c	17,437$1,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,873.99	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked Bucks	68c	16,934$11,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,515.37	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks	67c	16,469$11,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,009.08	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets	48c	15,910$7,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,261.77	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a79…a442backed Bucks	63c	15,646$9,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,800	70	62.9%44 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks	0c	15,645$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Bucks	1c	15,527$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.8	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Bucks	67c	15,000$10,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,050	176	46%81 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Bucks	68c	15,000$10,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,250	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Nuggets	34c	15,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,899.97	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Bucks	66c	15,000$9,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,899.81	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Bucks	1c	13,419$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.17	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets	39c	13,104$5,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,038.44	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Bucks	71c	13,058$9,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,271.18	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks	1c	12,951$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.41	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Bucks	53c	12,898$6,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,835.71	524	60.1%315 W · 209 L	+35.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks	67c	12,835$8,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,647.41	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…e150backed Nuggets	47c	12,769$6,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,767.37	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets	34c	12,622$4,268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,353.77	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Nuggets	40c	11,645$4,707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,937.91	224	57.1%128 W · 96 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Nuggets	28c	10,676$2,989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,687.05	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Bucks	57c	10,631$6,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,074.91	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Nuggets	36c	10,317$3,727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,590.06	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks	68c	10,048$6,814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,814.48	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nuggets	44c	10,000$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,600	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Nuggets	33c	10,000$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,699.99	181	51.4%93 W · 88 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Nuggets	29c	10,000$2,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,061.98	618	35.4%219 W · 399 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Bucks	70c	9,928$6,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,949.73	93	49.5%46 W · 47 L	+5.9wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Nuggets	27c	9,553$2,579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,973.77	284	39.8%113 W · 171 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets	79c	9,537$7,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,982.84	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Bucks	63c	9,450$5,911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,911.09	147	51%75 W · 72 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks	25c	9,448$2,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,322.05	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Bucks	73c	8,968$6,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,546.64	623	51.4%320 W · 303 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Nuggets	40c	8,613$3,457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,156.54	605	49.8%301 W · 304 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Bucks	70c	8,572$6,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000.75	99	38.4%38 W · 61 L	-8.4wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-26%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked Nuggets	36c	8,000$2,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,139.99	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Nuggets	33c	7,939$2,607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,332.27	65	40%26 W · 39 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Bucks	70c	7,900$5,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,530	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d75…c09fbacked Bucks	71c	7,746$5,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,500	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-4.1wins	-0.18per pick	53cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bucks	1c	7,681$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.29	1,035	1.1%11 W · 1,024 L	-24.4wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-90.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed Bucks	50c	7,667$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,800	220	51.8%114 W · 106 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9331…4b41backed Nuggets	45c	7,463$3,358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,104.79	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Bucks	54c	7,370$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Nuggets	27c	7,290$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,290.18	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks	33c	7,170$2,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,357.66	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Nuggets	34c	7,105$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,704.83	527	60%316 W · 211 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Nuggets	31c	7,000$2,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,823.12	119	40.3%48 W · 71 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Nuggets	30c	7,000$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Nuggets	36c	6,967$2,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,476.29	108	50.9%55 W · 53 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Bucks	66c	6,800$4,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,487.98	208	47.6%99 W · 109 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked Bucks	56c	6,702$3,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,765	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.37per pick	62cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfb3…dcecbacked Bucks	66c	6,700$4,422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,422	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0748…a31ebacked Nuggets	30c	6,667$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,666.67	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed Bucks	4c	6,666$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.86	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed Nuggets	30c	6,647$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,646.95	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Nuggets vs. Bucksthis page
AJ Green: Points O/U 11.5No won
Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 8.5No won
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 213.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 214.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 215.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Under won
Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 18.5No won
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Spread: Bucks (-5.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Bucks (-8.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)Nuggets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nuggets vs. Bucks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event