NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04f91a3d5e50038933e5c71bcd710c0945d665f97d0e6daffe229d1f78e50b0e

Rebuilt 51 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Nuggetsof Bucks, Nuggets
Resolved: Jan 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $482,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $487,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,272 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Nuggets	47c	215,685$101,928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113,757.56	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Nuggets	51c	75,000$38,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,749.94	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Bucks	54c	50,000$27,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,999.99	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks	49c	40,855$19,972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,971.78	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Bucks	54c	38,000$20,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,520	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks	51c	36,715$18,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,742.22	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks	53c	35,120$18,649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,649.05	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Nuggets	46c	34,500$15,870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,630.16	165	47.3%78 W · 87 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Bucks	50c	30,000$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Nuggets	44c	29,516$13,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,452.94	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks	54c	27,871$15,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,049.37	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets	54c	24,242$12,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,242.5	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Bucks	49c	20,408$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Bucks	49c	19,015$9,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,372.47	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Bucks	55c	13,608$7,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,423.33	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks	52c	7,916$4,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,088.41	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Bucks	49c	6,122$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bucks	53c	6,104$3,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,237.24	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Nuggets	53c	6,000$3,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,820	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Bucks	52c	5,769$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks	48c	5,604$2,665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,665.2	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Bucks	47c	5,505$2,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,587.58	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+15.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Bucks	55c	5,380$2,977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,977.19	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks	51c	5,362$2,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,734.84	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Bucks	53c	4,718$2,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,494.85	155	49.7%77 W · 78 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a0…42a3backed Bucks	49c	4,200$2,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,058	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+4.4wins	+0.18per pick	50cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37f1…d157backed Nuggets	51c	4,200$2,142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,058	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…5266backed Nuggets	50c	4,189$2,094 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,094.47	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd1…da41backed Nuggets	51c	4,150$2,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,033.5	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c50…a2a9backed Bucks	49c	4,150$2,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,033.5	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc898…e5b3backed Nuggets	51c	4,100$2,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,009	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1ec…55ebbacked Bucks	49c	4,100$2,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,009	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf95…eb74backed Bucks	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e9…80a8backed Nuggets	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+15%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fb…2002backed Nuggets	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8367…90e9backed Bucks	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1869…30c8backed Nuggets	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fdf…2b11backed Bucks	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Nuggets	48c	3,569$1,722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,846.9	236	30.1%71 W · 165 L	-12.3wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2261…b4ebbacked Bucks	48c	3,300$1,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,585	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a4c…9b1abacked Nuggets	52c	3,300$1,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,585	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets	49c	3,166$1,542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,624.39	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks	31c	2,351$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.12	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks	56c	2,250$1,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,255.34	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…3eefbacked Bucks	50c	2,139$1,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,069.47	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4958…a146backed Bucks	50c	2,050$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,025	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.21per pick	44cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Bucks	49c	2,002$981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980.92	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks	54c	1,540$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.47	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Nuggets	41c	1,500$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Nuggets	70c	1,423$996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.2	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets	46c	1,244$574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$669.47	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Nuggets	49c	1,224$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.49	75	36%27 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Bucks	54c	1,208$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.52	168	44%74 W · 94 L	-11.8wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets	45c	1,115$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$613.25	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Nuggets	46c	1,093$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590.22	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe324…12fdbacked Bucks	49c	1,080$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks	45c	1,055$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.95	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets	48c	1,001$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.3	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Nuggets	52c	999.83$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.93	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Nuggets	50c	990.18$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490.18	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+3.7wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+45%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Bucks	36c	963.6$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.63	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Nuggets	55c	931$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.85	142	55.6%79 W · 63 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bucks	54c	888.88$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bucks	48c	859.31$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.7	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Nuggets	47c	851.06$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.06	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e20…d1e4backed Nuggets	51c	845$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.55	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+95.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeaa…d205backed Bucks	49c	845$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets	47c	795.81$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.57	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bucks	50c	720.97$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.02	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bucks	34c	713$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.32	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Nuggets	53c	599.99$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Bucks	58c	517.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	131	54.2%71 W · 60 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Bucks	55c	500$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Bucks	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Bucks	50c	490.46$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.23	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets	46c	459$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.86	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Nuggets	45c	447.96$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.88	348	55.2%192 W · 156 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39cd…c00fbacked Nuggets	51c	440$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Bucks	47c	423.41$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	82	32.9%27 W · 55 L	-15.2wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Nuggets	47c	420$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.6	210	45.2%95 W · 115 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Bucks	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Nuggets	51c	359.67$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.38	271	44.3%120 W · 151 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Nuggets	49c	357.14$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.14	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38d8…497dbacked Nuggets	51c	350$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Nuggets	46c	342$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.68	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Bucks	33c	338.09$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.13	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Bucks	54c	300$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Bucks	54c	300$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	344	47.4%163 W · 181 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fda…5c80backed Nuggets	51c	290$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.1	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Bucks	54c	263.11$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.51	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Bucks	49c	254.59$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.48	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Bucks	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	188	52.7%99 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ea…e85cbacked Nuggets	70c	231.69$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.42	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	64cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Nuggets	46c	217.37$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.38	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Nuggets	47c	212.36$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.36	280	46.8%131 W · 149 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Bucks	47c	210.94$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x902e…5f41backed Bucks	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	98	53.1%52 W · 46 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Bucks	49c	203.69$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.57	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Bucks	21c	201.78$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.36	323	46.4%150 W · 173 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe62e…d3e2backed Nuggets	51c	200.67$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.67	106	44.3%47 W · 59 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)this page
AJ Green: Points O/U 11.5No won
Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 8.5No won
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Nuggets vs. BucksNuggets won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 213.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 214.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 215.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Under won
Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 18.5No won
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Spread: Bucks (-5.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Bucks (-8.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)Nuggets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event