NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bucks (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6f41e7a8504694ad9f99f4c9458fdad4bf15a89ce806e95e3b2b85707fbfb3d

Rebuilt 57 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Nuggetsof Bucks, Nuggets
Resolved: Jan 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $128,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $129,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,510 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Nuggets	47c	40,555$19,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,494.11	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Bucks	54c	36,498$19,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,590	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Nuggets	41c	29,610$12,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,337.1	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks	57c	26,642$15,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,303.54	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Bucks	52c	20,000$10,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,399.99	212	50.5%107 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets	46c	17,127$7,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,325.33	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets	48c	15,625$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,125	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Bucks	50c	4,400$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	105	53.3%56 W · 49 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Bucks	58c	3,770$2,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,169.7	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Nuggets	55c	3,132$1,724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,407.95	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Bucks	45c	2,972$1,323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,322.64	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks	53c	2,689$1,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,417.42	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Bucks	45c	1,937$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871.7	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Bucks	53c	1,849$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	78	50%39 W · 39 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Nuggets	46c	1,786$821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$964.17	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Nuggets	69c	1,593$1,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.66	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Nuggets	69c	1,506$1,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.93	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks	54c	1,414$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.56	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Bucks	53c	1,038$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.14	346	54%187 W · 159 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks	42c	812$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.69	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks	60c	717.35$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.56	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks	57c	594.79$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.06	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Bucks	59c	557.03$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.35	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Bucks	53c	529.82$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.8	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks	45c	484.61$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.78	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Bucks	56c	474.14$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.52	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bucks	54c	472.15$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.05	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Nuggets	69c	434.78$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.78	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Nuggets	42c	427.57$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.99	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Bucks	45c	400$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.95	90	47.8%43 W · 47 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Bucks	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Bucks	51c	368.81$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.09	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Bucks	56c	357.14$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f49…7458backed Nuggets	48c	312.5$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.5	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Bucks	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	140	42.9%60 W · 80 L	-9.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a26…1b7dbacked Bucks	52c	230.75$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.99	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Bucks	57c	228.06$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.99	168	44%74 W · 94 L	-11.8wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Nuggets	48c	210$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.2	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Nuggets	45c	200.36$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.74	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Bucks	55c	196.2$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.89	167	49.1%82 W · 85 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Bucks	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Nuggets	42c	162.84$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.45	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Nuggets	42c	142.84$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.85	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Bucks	56c	137.5$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Bucks	62c	129.03$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Nuggets	43c	125$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.25	359	42.1%151 W · 208 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Bucks	56c	117.54$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.68	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x843a…2687backed Nuggets	43c	115.12$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.62	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a00…0c93backed Bucks	54c	111.11$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Bucks	41c	105.5$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.65	147	51%75 W · 72 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc708…4ebcbacked Nuggets	51c	97.3$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.3	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed Nuggets	65c	91.76$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.76	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-7.1wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks	48c	82.12$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.59	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Nuggets	43c	78.9$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.99	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Nuggets	55c	78$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.1	282	51.8%146 W · 136 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nuggets	44c	77.86$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.9	591	41.8%247 W · 344 L	-26.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4161…272dbacked Bucks	60c	75$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	50	58%29 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Nuggets	68c	73.53$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.53	311	51.1%159 W · 152 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf406…c9bfbacked Nuggets	68c	73.53$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.53	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Nuggets	68c	73.48$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	96	60.4%58 W · 38 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b79…a497backed Nuggets	47c	63.32$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.56	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bucks	56c	62.25$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.73	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf740…2badbacked Bucks	58c	62.07$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	62	29%18 W · 44 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Bucks	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Nuggets	45c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	432	46.1%199 W · 233 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3b…5c15backed Bucks	56c	44.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d2…a162backed Bucks	56c	44.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a35…2c0bbacked Bucks	56c	44.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5256…4973backed Bucks	56c	44.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94e7…b890backed Bucks	59c	42.37$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Bucks	62c	40.32$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	328	53%174 W · 154 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Nuggets	51c	40.2$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.7	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Nuggets	45c	38.5$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.29	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x049b…ebb2backed Nuggets	46c	38.04$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.54	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets	42c	36.7$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.12	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Bucks	56c	36.66$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	307	43%132 W · 175 L	-19.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-19%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Bucks	53c	35.85$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-10.1wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x911a…dbd3backed Bucks	56c	35.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7f…8c81backed Nuggets	43c	34.88$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.88	105	51.4%54 W · 51 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaac8…95e7backed Bucks	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Bucks	53c	28.97$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.35	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b98…e5d1backed Bucks	53c	28.58$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb423…3562backed Bucks	56c	26.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	52cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0c4…1a9cbacked Bucks	56c	26.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x370e…dc78backed Bucks	57c	26.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9579…3738backed Bucks	57c	26.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa996…d9cfbacked Bucks	57c	26.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aea…a6dfbacked Bucks	58c	25.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Nuggets	56c	25.56$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	323	46.4%150 W · 173 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Bucks	53c	22.83$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	108	42.6%46 W · 62 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Nuggets	48c	22.8$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.78	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xada4…1bfabacked Nuggets	48c	21$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.92	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Bucks	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	288	52.8%152 W · 136 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed Bucks	58c	19.44$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.28	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Bucks	53c	18.7$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	212	43.4%92 W · 120 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc7…31c0backed Bucks	54c	18.52$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Bucks	56c	18.11$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Bucks	62c	16.61$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	110	60%66 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Bucks (-5.5)this page
AJ Green: Points O/U 11.5No won
Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 8.5No won
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Nuggets vs. BucksNuggets won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 213.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 214.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 215.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Under won
Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 18.5No won
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Bucks (-8.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)Nuggets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Bucks (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event