NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe075a8baf22c7bf06116c842adacfe54ae43ca3200238bdf5fe23cb3850263ef

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $73,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $72,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,105 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under	67c	30,087$20,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,930.47	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Over	33c	10,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	112	52.7%59 W · 53 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under	51c	10,000$5,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,849.99	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over	33c	6,750$2,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,227.5	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over	27c	6,500$1,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,779.89	166	33.7%56 W · 110 L	-11.6wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,940	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under	51c	5,936$3,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,908.51	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over	43c	3,950$1,696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,696.3	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over	0c	3,033$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.92	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Over	33c	3,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under	56c	2,968$1,662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,305.93	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	72c	2,199$1,594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.23	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed Over	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-3.7wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	45c	2,026$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.4	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over	33c	1,500$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over	33c	1,490$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.75	714	49.3%352 W · 362 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	33c	1,400$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.4	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Under	53c	1,039$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.96	120	51.7%62 W · 58 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Over	33c	969.7$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	169	45.6%77 W · 92 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over	43c	770.12$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over	33c	767$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.11	219	37%81 W · 138 L	-15.9wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	49c	712$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.12	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under	75c	661$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.58	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over	33c	618.69$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.17	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	67c	600$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over	5c	599.98$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	43c	550.46$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.7	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over	48c	508.33$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	179	53.1%95 W · 84 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over	33c	443.94$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.5	182	41.2%75 W · 107 L	-17.6wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	49c	427.99$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.92	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	33c	403$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.99	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under	61c	402.84$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.46	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Over	39c	389.97$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.09	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over	44c	386.36$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	334	42.8%143 W · 191 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb595…7268backed Over	38c	359$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Over	25c	338.38$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	180	31.7%57 W · 123 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	30c	335.2$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.56	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over	40c	320.17$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.27	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over	48c	315.25$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.32	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over	35c	299.89$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.66	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over	49c	296.16$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.12	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	41c	257.55$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.9	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over	44c	245.57$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under	61c	227.3$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.65	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Over	33c	217.42$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.75	147	54.4%80 W · 67 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	27c	211.64$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.32	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd550…9228backed Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe62e…d3e2backed Under	63c	200$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	106	44.3%47 W · 59 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	33c	176.47$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.24	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Over	33c	151.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.85	111	50.5%56 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under	63c	136.76$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.76	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Under	74c	135.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.14	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	23c	128.01$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.49	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e1…ec41backed Over	40c	125.07$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	-7.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under	63c	123$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.78	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	33c	119$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.27	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ed…d157backed Over	30c	110$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.2	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.3wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Under	59c	102.15$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.88	207	62.3%129 W · 78 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	42c	100.28$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.09	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Under	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4679…bc44backed Over	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under	61c	99.01$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.01	503	51.5%259 W · 244 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over	33c	90.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	522	46.6%243 W · 279 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed9…3cdebacked Over	33c	90.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	35c	84.87$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.01	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x179f…80b0backed Over	38c	80$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2af9…b081backed Over	44c	79.55$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under	65c	77.14$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ad…8b71backed Under	68c	73.53$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.53	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf01…b14cbacked Over	33c	67.5$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.28	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over	33c	66.82$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.05	376	52.4%197 W · 179 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	436	47.9%209 W · 227 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	118	48.3%57 W · 61 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	46c	52.78$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	33c	50$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	1,151	53.7%618 W · 533 L	-41.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f10…ef9abacked Over	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	79	35.4%28 W · 51 L	-10.1wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-30%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over	33c	50$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	658	55.6%366 W · 292 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Over	37c	46$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.02	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+17%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over	35c	45.58$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.78	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Over	33c	39.39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	197	48.2%95 W · 102 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over	36c	39$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	712	45.8%326 W · 386 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Under	48c	38.46$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	154	49.4%76 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over	43c	36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.48	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Over	43c	35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.05	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	-16.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over	48c	33.04$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.85	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…f2cabacked Over	45c	30.6$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.88	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-6.3wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x58c7…b84abacked Over	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b58…c920backed Over	49c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Under	52c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	335	52.8%177 W · 158 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	47c	29.8$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49f0…df87backed Under	68c	29.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Over	41c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	227	48.9%111 W · 116 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked Over	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under	71c	24.38$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.07	118	49.2%58 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over	48c	23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	160	36.3%58 W · 102 L	-15.0wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under	71c	21.21$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.22	390	47.7%186 W · 204 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Under	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+5.9wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5this page
AJ Green: Points O/U 11.5No won
Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 8.5No won
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Nuggets vs. BucksNuggets won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 213.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 214.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 215.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Under won
Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 18.5No won
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Spread: Bucks (-5.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Bucks (-8.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)Nuggets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event