TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f10…ef9a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT7935.4%28 W · 51 L-10.1wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.75
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$629.72
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$548.87
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$272.47
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$47.99
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,240.14
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+279.2%+$301.14
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$320
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$580
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$430
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$340
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$64.09
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50.99
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$125
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+270.4%+$294.44
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$247.91
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$460
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$360
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$78.05
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$147.3
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94.17
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.28
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+222.6%+$42.09
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+57.2%+$32.37
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$82.85
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$49.75
All 15 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 February 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$237.4
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$900
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$580
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+32.4%+$97.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+88.7%+$117.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,641Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$3,641.06
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$681.97
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,525
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+76.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.11
Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$40.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+171.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+171.4%+$693.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+86.5%+$107.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$160.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$210
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$78.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.