TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof Team Spirit, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,513
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,513 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed Team Spirit57c13,741$7,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,838.7233746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c7…1131backed Team Spirit1c6,346$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed MOUZ44c5,500$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,079.9719148.7%93 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked MOUZ44c3,712$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.5917444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Spirit54c3,347$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.7573841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked MOUZ45c2,800$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5547562.7%47 W · 28 L+11.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ46c2,661$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.861,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ46c2,651$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.9955157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ43c2,582$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4651,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ46c2,265$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.981,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed MOUZ44c2,043$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.7915047.3%71 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed MOUZ42c1,755$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.6216142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ50c1,398$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.5254445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit56c1,389$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.631,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Spirit37c1,112$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.5814121.3%30 W · 111 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed MOUZ42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.27665.8%50 W · 26 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed MOUZ41c999.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5904245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ73c823.95$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9560646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3f…d0a9backed Team Spirit56c789.29$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4421154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Team Spirit57c771.06$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4388543.5%37 W · 48 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Team Spirit54c720$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9801…1ab6backed Team Spirit59c719.2$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.334436.4%16 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Team Spirit63c545$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.726850%34 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ42c543.29$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.1158744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit20c505.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.411,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f55…e528backed Team Spirit59c501.38$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+124%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Team Spirit59c490$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.15850%29 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Team Spirit58c477.31$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.8418550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Spirit57c418.64$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.897440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Team Spirit56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22448352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit60c383.64$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23047660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf584…d8dabacked Team Spirit59c359.73$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa824…c9fcbacked Team Spirit62c322.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018053.3%96 W · 84 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Team Spirit59c249$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.915648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Team Spirit57c217$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.119145.1%41 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit56c216.75$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.382,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked Team Spirit45c214.19$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.038544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked MOUZ38c204.77$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9112843.8%56 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed MOUZ44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11251140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c6b…81cbbacked Team Spirit59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Spirit56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11253757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aed…eb43backed Team Spirit54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Team Spirit36c148$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8919242.7%82 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x852b…7af0backed Team Spirit58c143.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Team Spirit56c142.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Team Spirit62c129.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit46c128.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.712,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked MOUZ38c127.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3116248.8%79 W · 83 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…0813backed Team Spirit16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206768.7%46 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2154…05aebacked Team Spirit59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe0…4fafbacked Team Spirit59c103$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.771030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-54.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Team Spirit56c100.4$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2217740.7%72 W · 105 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked Team Spirit50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022654.4%123 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f2a…984dbacked MOUZ41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Team Spirit69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699244.6%41 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Team Spirit57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574223.8%10 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92d6…0550backed MOUZ31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+85.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x479b…7235backed Team Spirit36c99.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364045%18 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Team Spirit60c91.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5546664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35a7…4293backed Team Spirit56c90.9$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.94535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-37.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Team Spirit59c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.113733.6%46 W · 91 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f10…ef9abacked Team Spirit60c83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd952…c0ccbacked Team Spirit49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4080%0 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Team Spirit52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.64050%20 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Spirit56c74.87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.192,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4f…f1e0backed Team Spirit37c68.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.09728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42c…786bbacked Team Spirit29c66.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.634548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x848c…bfebbacked Team Spirit54c63.23$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.381838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Team Spirit30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.98440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Spirit57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.270236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Team Spirit60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3638649.5%191 W · 195 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa4…71c5backed Team Spirit59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.46245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked MOUZ48c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5595841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x275f…39d9backed Team Spirit59c51.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.473423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-58.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5aad…c5adbacked Team Spirit20c51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-78.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Team Spirit57c50.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.525642.9%24 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked MOUZ42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked MOUZ40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3017638.6%68 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed MOUZ40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308934.8%31 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked MOUZ44c46.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9611052.7%58 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2157…3db0backed MOUZ44c45.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.981369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+50.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed Team Spirit59c42.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.97753.2%41 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Spirit43c42.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0486949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ42c42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.366169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bf…dc6dbacked Team Spirit54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61625%4 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb92f…566bbacked Team Spirit59c39.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ42c39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.621,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef3a…c4ffbacked Team Spirit56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e7f…6d97backed Team Spirit56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d31…07b0backed Team Spirit57c35.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025255.2%139 W · 113 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Team Spirit58c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…9168backed Team Spirit60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed MOUZ52c32.44$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4411348.7%55 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed MOUZ45c30.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6236054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed MOUZ40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1879343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b19…3084backed MOUZ70c27.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Team Spirit56c26.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6818143.6%79 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60f…611ebacked Team Spirit59c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Team Spirit53c23.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4413827.5%38 W · 100 L-15.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc766…c4d9backed Team Spirit57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.