TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f2a…984d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Tweets, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT4736.2%17 W · 30 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-32.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.2
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$65.52
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.04
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.72
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.45
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.66
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.8
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.99
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.2
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.5
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$85.68
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$92
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$62.7
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$104.37
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$102.96
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$90.3
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+53.8%+$72.58
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$109.2
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$187.8
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$243.99
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+156.4%+$244
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$185.5
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.1
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$72.72
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$93.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.27
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.95
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.27
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$131.58
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.37
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$133.54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$177
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$59
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$90.2
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$103.99
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.41
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$100.25
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$99.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$160.44
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$166.32
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+132.6%+$200.64
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.89
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$125.06
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.97
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$295.85
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.7
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.93
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$126.48
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$182.81
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$190.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$212
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+99.7%+$207.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$342.9
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.42
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25.25
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.15
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.32
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.86
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43.86
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.98
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.66
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$135
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.5
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$86.73
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.88
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.95
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.11
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$119.89
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.13
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.84
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$226.8
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$96.9
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+163.2%+$29.06
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Bruins vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$160
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$122.5
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33.3
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+128.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$130.65
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$120.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+162.5%+$340.45
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$189.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$597.01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$427.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.21
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$364
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$38.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.44
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+1.00per pick0cpaid+49,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+49,900%+$9,980
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+104.1%+$241.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$11.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.