NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3215685766ee786bc4be99701dfd8c37d89fdfccde189ccc95e9ee6b4f68e113
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Suns, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,692,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,791,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,692,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,526 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Suns | 47c | 142,530$66,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,989.04 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Magic | 54c | 128,288$69,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,012.56 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 57c | 104,550$59,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,975.4 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Magic | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,999.95 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Magic | 63c | 97,659$61,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,960.45 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Magic | 54c | 89,290$48,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,656.31 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…e479backed Suns | 44c | 77,654$34,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,123.15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Magic | 65c | 76,617$50,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,544.41 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Suns | 35c | 70,269$24,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,675.63 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Suns | 39c | 61,930$24,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,235.66 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns | 47c | 61,512$28,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,910.48 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Suns | 45c | 60,161$27,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,072.37 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Suns | 28c | 52,072$14,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,450.82 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Suns | 46c | 51,055$23,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,485.3 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic | 69c | 49,962$34,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,388.95 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b03…2c36backed Suns | 45c | 49,527$22,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,108.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 53c | 48,928$26,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,927.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…b317backed Magic | 53c | 48,704$26,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,677.14 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Suns | 30c | 47,233$14,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,323.5 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Suns | 32c | 43,395$14,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,089.24 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Suns | 28c | 40,802$11,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,570.76 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Suns | 27c | 38,883$10,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,589.71 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…7854backed Suns | 47c | 38,728$18,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,202.16 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…e0ddbacked Suns | 39c | 33,160$12,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,784.63 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 69c | 32,046$21,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,052.9 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Suns | 47c | 30,153$14,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,171.84 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 27c | 30,000$8,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,049.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 53c | 29,679$15,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,802.09 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Suns | 34c | 28,261$9,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,603.75 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…07d4backed Magic | 52c | 27,370$14,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,137.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Suns | 46c | 27,093$12,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,462.69 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Suns | 46c | 26,296$12,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,149.39 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 69c | 24,743$16,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,788.24 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Magic | 53c | 24,000$12,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,279.82 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Magic | 54c | 20,359$10,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,365.05 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Suns | 35c | 20,289$7,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,085.52 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Magic | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Suns | 46c | 19,999$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.72 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Suns | 42c | 19,983$8,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,388.48 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Suns | 35c | 19,582$6,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,794.92 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Magic | 63c | 18,217$11,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,772.02 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 67c | 17,739$11,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,772.55 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Suns | 22c | 16,651$3,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.94 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Suns | 47c | 15,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.98 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Magic | 53c | 14,595$7,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,859.81 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Magic | 54c | 14,586$7,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,709.56 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Magic | 65c | 13,651$8,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,725.31 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Magic | 66c | 13,381$8,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.05 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Suns | 21c | 13,118$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.28 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Magic | 55c | 13,090$7,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,890.48 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Suns | 46c | 13,045$6,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,015.74 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Magic | 56c | 12,904$7,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,694.46 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Magic | 54c | 12,779$6,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,928.43 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 38c | 11,778$4,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Magic | 74c | 11,640$8,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.51 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic | 54c | 10,727$5,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,951.62 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Magic | 54c | 10,435$5,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,765.86 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…91d6backed Suns | 46c | 10,404$4,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,784.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Suns | 32c | 10,118$3,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.2 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Magic | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Suns | 35c | 10,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Suns | 46c | 10,000$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639.99 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Magic | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.94 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Magic | 75c | 9,876$7,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.58 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 53c | 9,852$5,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,609.05 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Suns | 44c | 9,677$4,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,227.08 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 53c | 9,265$4,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,354.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Suns | 40c | 9,069$3,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.33 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x512f…e2fdbacked Suns | 47c | 8,596$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Suns | 46c | 8,593$3,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,952.95 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Magic | 55c | 8,512$4,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800.89 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…dbeebacked Magic | 53c | 8,434$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,964.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…a19bbacked Suns | 52c | 8,252$4,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290.79 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…c7e5backed Suns | 32c | 8,166$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.75 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Suns | 44c | 8,021$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,545.4 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Magic | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.96 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Suns | 30c | 7,698$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.56 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Suns | 31c | 7,507$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.34 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Magic | 54c | 7,123$3,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264.8 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 53c | 7,103$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.86 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Magic | 55c | 6,934$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,094 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Suns | 35c | 6,630$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.52 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Magic | 53c | 6,538$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.87 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Suns | 28c | 6,436$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.99 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Suns | 29c | 6,361$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.66 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Suns | 47c | 6,064$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.85 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Magic | 67c | 6,033$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.68 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Magic | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.99 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Magic | 64c | 5,979$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.53 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…f0c4backed Magic | 54c | 5,932$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.55 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +8.8wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x55d1…4c30backed Magic | 53c | 5,929$3,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Magic | 53c | 5,924$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.25 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Magic | 75c | 5,900$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Suns | 46c | 5,890$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.28 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…ebf1backed Suns | 47c | 5,809$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.32 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Suns | 46c | 5,650$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.54 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed Magic | 54c | 5,647$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Suns | 33c | 5,566$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.1 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Suns | 44c | 5,504$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.99 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-0.5)Magic won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Suns vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Suns vs. Magic: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Over won
- Suns vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Over won
- Suns vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.