TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Magic: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$235,201
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$248,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,201 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over52c30,000$15,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,460.151,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over52c30,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,399.9943148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Over51c25,725$13,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,605.463847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under48c23,891$11,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,47026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over51c21,677$11,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,621.9632653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf24…62c9backed Under50c20,002$10,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf858…30f6backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0002100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under48c15,358$7,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,383.056547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Under48c10,646$5,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1106746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80016346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under49c9,999$4,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,907.0149244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c8,310$4,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,071.91,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under49c8,255$4,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,04516249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under41c6,968$2,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,861.133,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under3c5,909$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.261,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under49c5,762$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.3721350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under33c5,340$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.812,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45012745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c4,596$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.064,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c3,980$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29ce…1ba6backed Under49c3,970$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.41070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+41.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ec7…db02backed Under48c3,721$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7861735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7067…e41ebacked Under48c2,708$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1690…8c4dbacked Under74c2,678$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.547064.3%45 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c2,351$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c2,302$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c2,287$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.211,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Over53c2,245$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.4711235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98015849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00012646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under51c1,963$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8764944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c1,708$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.792,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb091…040dbacked Under48c1,681$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8072948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over63c1,582$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.9460444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Over50c1,497$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.695655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Under49c1,405$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.456737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c1,396$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.863,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under48c1,213$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.992,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over52c1,083$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.6921247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c1,077$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.731,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over51c1,020$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.817637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c990.33$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.552,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under49c966$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.3425951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under43c941.46$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.1227241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44187049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under49c857.14$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4204553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over60c828.52$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.5216159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under41c799.26$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.321,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Under14c687.93$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.314860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under49c626.67$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.0758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under49c619$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.3116946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under48c600.98$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4747436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Under4c600.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210945.9%50 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29480737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2427746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Over47c537.4$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.828339.8%33 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2408951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Over73c479.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4510144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under44c453.47$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.541,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over51c441.92$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.5124138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under48c437.18$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8525641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under48c422.89$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6429344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Over52c407.54$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.629345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Over52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1923828.9%11 W · 27 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Over52c381.15$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.9517041.8%71 W · 99 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Over52c361.96$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.746040%24 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1019…d7cabacked Over50c351.58$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.361729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15044345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under48c299.74$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8819435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2571…a49abacked Over52c284.17$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under19c263$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Under50c234.94$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.375048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Over52c228.85$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8522148%106 W · 115 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Over52c228.81$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8321546.5%100 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over63c228.17$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.421,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under46c227.46$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.423,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under16c220.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.765349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf151…24c7backed Over52c217.96$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.621643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under16c216.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked Over52c211.85$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.697545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under19c210$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.340440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c208.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.43,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9811157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0865649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x776e…d6f3backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over50c193$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.618842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over50c191.8$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9481349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under53c190.92$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6914640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under53c189.52$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c168.68$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.371,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Under48c158.33$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7612149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc667…0359backed Over52c154.85$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.331346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over51c153.6$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.741,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.