NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe69670198a01d738a9e0d1d3b9ab8a3cab9042d43185ae8af1b16e761afb592b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 52c | 30,000$15,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,460.15 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,399.99 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Over | 51c | 25,725$13,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,605.46 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 48c | 23,891$11,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,470 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 51c | 21,677$11,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,621.96 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…62c9backed Under | 50c | 20,002$10,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf858…30f6backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 48c | 15,358$7,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,383.05 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Under | 48c | 10,646$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 49c | 9,999$4,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,907.01 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 8,310$4,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.9 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 49c | 8,255$4,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,045 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 6,968$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.13 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 3c | 5,909$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.26 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 49c | 5,762$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.37 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 5,340$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.81 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 4,596$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 3,980$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…1ba6backed Under | 49c | 3,970$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…db02backed Under | 48c | 3,721$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7067…e41ebacked Under | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Under | 74c | 2,678$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.54 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 2,351$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 2,302$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 2,287$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.21 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Over | 53c | 2,245$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.47 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 1,963$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.87 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 1,708$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.79 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…040dbacked Under | 48c | 1,681$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 63c | 1,582$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.94 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Over | 50c | 1,497$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.69 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Under | 49c | 1,405$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.45 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 1,396$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 48c | 1,213$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.99 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 52c | 1,083$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.69 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 1,077$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.73 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 990.33$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.55 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 49c | 966$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.34 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 43c | 941.46$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.12 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 49c | 857.14$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 60c | 828.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.52 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 41c | 799.26$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.32 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Under | 14c | 687.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 49c | 626.67$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.07 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 49c | 619$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.31 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 48c | 600.98$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.47 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Under | 4c | 600.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Over | 47c | 537.4$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.82 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Over | 73c | 479.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 44c | 453.47$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.54 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 51c | 441.92$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.51 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 48c | 437.18$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.85 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 48c | 422.89$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.64 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Over | 52c | 407.54$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.62 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Over | 52c | 381.15$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.95 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Over | 52c | 361.96$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.74 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…d7cabacked Over | 50c | 351.58$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.36 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 48c | 299.74$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.88 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2571…a49abacked Over | 52c | 284.17$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 19c | 263$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 50c | 234.94$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.37 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Over | 52c | 228.85$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Over | 52c | 228.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.83 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 63c | 228.17$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 46c | 227.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 16c | 220.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf151…24c7backed Over | 52c | 217.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 16c | 216.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Over | 52c | 211.85$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 19c | 210$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 208.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…7c9bbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776e…d6f3backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 50c | 193$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 50c | 191.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under | 53c | 190.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 53c | 189.52$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.04 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 168.68$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Under | 48c | 158.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…0359backed Over | 52c | 154.85$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 51c | 153.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Magic: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-0.5)Magic won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Suns vs. MagicMagic won
- Suns vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Suns vs. Magic: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Over won
- Suns vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.