TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Magic: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,612
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,612 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe169…4653backed Over47c11,140$5,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,904.2612450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under53c6,067$3,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,198.63,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21da…31ebbacked Under55c2,378$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.464269%29 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Over49c2,296$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.984332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over50c1,841$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.0625248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under50c1,837$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.9364651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under52c1,757$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.6522752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over48c1,702$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.8858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Under53c1,628$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.968853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under19c1,572$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.656646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over45c1,550$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.416,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c1,244$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.778,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c1,101$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.124,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec7…db02backed Over48c1,031$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5361735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Under52c971.2$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.0213959.7%83 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under53c952.01$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.6562744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Under53c916.79$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.98859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c897.97$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.934,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c845.19$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.155,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c799.96$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.9884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over25c740.79$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.41,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under9c663.95$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4724138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Under53c621.95$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.6310251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Under53c610.58$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.6110945.9%50 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under52c388.48$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0132450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under52c388.48$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0121653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b3d2backed Over60c370.39$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.152245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Over78c369.33$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.545738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under51c350$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over47c336.24$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8821347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under20c323.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.651,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15047436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Under56c232.1$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9814243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c228.61$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.071,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0da…7379backed Under68c215.14$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.181050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over48c210.33$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3725641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over48c208.72$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5344747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Over50c191.17$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5916242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under52c190.45$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over46c182.13$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.662,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c178.36$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.42,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under35c156.8$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4362047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c155.56$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.562,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over64c152.13$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1124151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c149.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9942853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c149.72$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.362,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over50c149.62$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8151647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under25c148.05$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0133554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over47c140.71$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6817643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under11c140.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5952230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over30c128.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.581,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under53c125.35$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2426450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under44c114.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.212,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5218157.5%104 W · 77 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed Under26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2614330.8%44 W · 99 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under53c99.78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8922048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under51c93.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6549249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Over47c92.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.136435.9%23 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under35c84.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.941,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…fe55backed Under58c84.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.791050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Under52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over49c72.55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3721247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under46c68.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.653,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over48c66.12$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under40c55.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1755751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe9…071dbacked Over48c54.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.311533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under33c53.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.463,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over50c42.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3437853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.420144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under50c39.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4121952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under51c37.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.181,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under50c36.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9187744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over57c34.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8215663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over35c33.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7911826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under45c30.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.773,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Under42c28.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0214931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under53c27.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5856454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over48c25.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4653349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Under52c24.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6310850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ea…c255backed Under52c24.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over58c24.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1513349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Under54c24.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.983033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c23.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.171,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd337…7564backed Under53c23.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.632157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x911d…2438backed Under51c22.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.656654.5%36 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under51c22.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.582,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over56c21.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7353348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under55c20.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.381,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Under53c19.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.338048.7%185 W · 195 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under63c17.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7717553.7%94 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.