TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Magic: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Magicof Suns, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,164
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,164 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Magic65c2,246$1,462 inWon+$784.015,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Suns48c1,211$581 inLost-$581.2828838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Suns22c832.28$183 inLost-$182.7252230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Suns48c806.67$387 inLost-$387.27848.7%38 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Magic57c741.13$424 inWon+$317.328657.3%164 W · 122 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns43c528.1$229 inLost-$228.534,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Magic52c500$260 inWon+$2402,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Magic57c484.43$276 inWon+$208.878657%49 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Suns17c285.06$48 inLost-$48.461,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Suns21c190.52$40 inLost-$40.0145542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Suns42c160.03$68 inLost-$67.822,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb60c…8e81backed Suns38c141.18$53 inLost-$52.992133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Suns43c140$60 inLost-$60.214844.6%66 W · 82 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Magic52c100$52 inWon+$481,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Magic56c99.17$55 inWon+$43.6836248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Suns20c92.08$18 inLost-$18.181,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Suns43c81$35 inLost-$34.8362049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f5…95e9backed Suns47c74.82$35 inLost-$35.173026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Suns43c69.1$30 inLost-$29.7132747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Suns48c64.36$31 inLost-$30.953539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Suns43c58$25 inLost-$24.9432947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Suns48c42.39$20 inLost-$20.344928.6%14 W · 35 L-8.7wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Suns44c30$13 inLost-$13.260049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x741b…4a79backed Magic57c26.31$15 inWon+$11.311040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7346…5cf8backed Magic73c14.93$11 inWon+$4.084254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.