NBA · resolved market

Spread: Magic (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76708680dcc74dbc5832837ed9a3ff6a0ce81ab21c5075d9b7bb4e02bf688225

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Magicof Magic, Suns
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $96,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $100,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,383 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb784…61d0backed Magic	48c	27,507$13,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,303.64	293	51.5%151 W · 142 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Suns	52c	12,789$6,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,650.19	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns	52c	12,000$6,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,240	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Magic	48c	8,482$4,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,410.6	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Suns	52c	6,677$3,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,473.53	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Magic	48c	6,333$3,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,293.15	158	50.6%80 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Suns	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,079.99	120	45%54 W · 66 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Magic	49c	3,573$1,751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,822.34	381	43%164 W · 217 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Magic	47c	3,398$1,597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,801.07	159	52.8%84 W · 75 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns	52c	3,352$1,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,742.11	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Suns	53c	2,830$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Suns	51c	2,796$1,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,425.9	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Suns	52c	2,793$1,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,452.32	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Magic	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,083.33	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic	47c	1,773$833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.45	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Magic	62c	1,589$985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.71	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Suns	53c	1,589$842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$841.97	166	35.5%59 W · 107 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Suns	52c	1,529$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Suns	52c	1,489$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.23	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Magic	47c	1,223$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$645.11	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Suns	52c	1,222$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.88	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Suns	49c	1,171$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	118	34.7%41 W · 77 L	-9.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns	46c	1,112$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Suns	51c	1,088$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.87	206	47.6%98 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Suns	53c	1,060$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.8	265	53.2%141 W · 124 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Magic	48c	1,042$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.67	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa36b…242dbacked Magic	57c	1,029$587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.66	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8035…f36dbacked Suns	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-44%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Suns	35c	977.3$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.92	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Magic	48c	936.81$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.14	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Suns	52c	865$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.8	206	50%103 W · 103 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Magic	47c	859$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455.27	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec7…db02backed Magic	48c	847.91$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440.91	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Magic	47c	846.61$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.62	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Magic	48c	829.99$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.6	238	45%107 W · 131 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Suns	24c	754.47$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.61	241	38.6%93 W · 148 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Magic	68c	642.97$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.16	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Magic	47c	640.65$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.69	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Magic	48c	620$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.2	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Magic	48c	599.95$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.12	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Magic	47c	536.93$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.67	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7067…e41ebacked Magic	48c	517.42$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.06	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Suns	5c	511.69$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	208	37.5%78 W · 130 L	+38.2wins	+0.18per pick	19cpaid	+115.2%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Suns	50c	494$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Suns	52c	482.96$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.21	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Suns	52c	454.51$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.34	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Magic	47c	425.53$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.53	162	49.4%80 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Suns	3c	419.06$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f4…92b2backed Suns	48c	415$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.51	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+3.0wins	+0.22per pick	57cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Magic	49c	410$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.1	171	44.4%76 W · 95 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked Suns	52c	403.85$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	143	44.1%63 W · 80 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Magic	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	361	43.5%157 W · 204 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Suns	52c	400$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-7.6wins	-0.20per pick	49cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Suns	53c	398.61$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.26	428	45.1%193 W · 235 L	-15.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Magic	48c	349.98$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.99	447	40.7%182 W · 265 L	-27.5wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Magic	48c	340.68$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.15	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Magic	55c	323.04$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.04	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Magic	69c	311.59$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.59	86	46.5%40 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Magic	49c	306.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.12	289	49.1%142 W · 147 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Magic	49c	300$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Magic	69c	271.52$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.56	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Magic	49c	270.41$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.1	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Suns	53c	226.42$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	234	46.2%108 W · 126 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Suns	54c	222.62$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	267	55.1%147 W · 120 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Magic	47c	213$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.89	358	49.7%178 W · 180 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Suns	52c	205.62$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.26	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Magic	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	656	49.2%323 W · 333 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Suns	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	171	48%82 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Magic	48c	199.92$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.96	382	42.9%164 W · 218 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Magic	49c	197.9$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.93	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+5.2wins	+0.21per pick	51cpaid	+46.8%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Suns	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	128	36.7%47 W · 81 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Suns	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Suns	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	378	52.9%200 W · 178 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Suns	52c	192.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.97	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Suns	53c	190.07$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	86	54.7%47 W · 39 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c85…31d4backed Suns	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Suns	43c	176.74$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Suns	52c	171.75$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.87	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Suns	52c	153.57$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.86	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb743…c116backed Magic	78c	128.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-3.3wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-34%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Magic	48c	114.38$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.44	221	43.4%96 W · 125 L	-12.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Magic	49c	110$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.1	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5c…7fc6backed Magic	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Suns	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Magic	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	533	39.6%211 W · 322 L	-39.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Magic	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	115	38.3%44 W · 71 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Suns	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Suns	41c	88.84$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.13	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Magic	51c	86.58$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.84	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic	48c	84.33$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.79	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Magic	53c	76.41$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.85	620	47.3%293 W · 327 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8d…8a4fbacked Suns	54c	74.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic	56c	71.31$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.38	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Suns	52c	67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.84	620	49%304 W · 316 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Suns	51c	65.41$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.36	271	38.7%105 W · 166 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Suns	52c	65.38$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Suns	51c	65.29$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.3	238	40.8%97 W · 141 L	-16.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96df…00a3backed Suns	53c	62.7$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.23	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-4.8wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Magic	47c	62$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.86	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Suns	52c	61.15$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	672	48.8%328 W · 344 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Magic (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event