TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8e79…2d68

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
370
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT12836.7%47 W · 81 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 128 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$575
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.11
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.06
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.78
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.46
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$105.03
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$16.55
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.98
Showing 25 of 128 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10541.9%44 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+41%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$415.38
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$402.5
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+239%+$238.98
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+281%+$280.95
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$213.53
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+271.3%+$135.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Will Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+253.9%+$152.34
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$106.36
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Burton Albion FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+122.2%+$37.8
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+270.4%+$58.4
Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+185.7%+$111.43
Will Leeds United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Newcastle vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+177.8%+$177.78
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Everton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$45.11
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Girona FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$156.12
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+122.2%+$244.44
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+163.2%+$163.16
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Levante UD vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Oviedo vs. Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Will Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+185.7%+$255.84
Will Villarreal vs. Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Will Celta Vigo vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+300%+$300
Will Espanyol vs. Real Betis end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 21 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Will Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$77.14
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$85.38
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+316.7%+$316.67
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.5
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
Will SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Will Juventus FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+270.4%+$270.37
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Lazio vs. Cagliari end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Juventus vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$297.5
Will Napoli vs. Genoa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-64.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+124.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+238%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax vs. NEC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+238%+$238
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.3%+$187.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.